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卧室里的蝙蝠,钟楼里的蝙蝠:对狂犬病暴露后预防原理的重新分析

Bats in the bedroom, bats in the belfry: reanalysis of the rationale for rabies postexposure prophylaxis.

作者信息

De Serres Gaston, Skowronski Danuta M, Mimault Pierre, Ouakki Manale, Maranda-Aubut Renée, Duval Bernard

机构信息

Institut National de Santé Publique du Québec, Laval University, Québec, Canada.

出版信息

Clin Infect Dis. 2009 Jun 1;48(11):1493-9. doi: 10.1086/598998.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

We assessed the scientific basis and practical implications of recommendations made since the late 1990s to offer rabies postexposure prophylaxis (RPEP) for occult bat encounters, including recommendations to offer RPEP to persons with bedroom exposure to a bat while sleeping without evidence of direct physical contact.

METHODS

The number needed to treat after bedroom exposure to a bat was calculated as the percentage of population exposed multiplied by the inverse of crude rabies incidence. Bedroom exposure was estimated in a population survey of 14,453 households. Incidence was based on reported human cases in Canada and the United States, 1990-2007.

RESULTS

In the population surveyed, bedroom bat exposure while sleeping and without known physical contact occurred at an annual rate of 0.099%. We estimate that <5% of eligible persons with bedroom exposure receive RPEP as recommended. The incidence of human rabies due to bedroom bat exposure without recognized contact was 1 case per 2.7 billion person-years. The number needed to treat to prevent a single case of human rabies in that context ranges from 314,000 to 2.7 million persons. A total of 293-2500 health care professionals working full-time for a full year would be required to prevent a single human case of bat rabies due to bedroom exposure without recognized contact. Amounts of Can $228 million to Can $2.0 billion are additionally required for associated material costs.

CONCLUSIONS

Human rabies acquired through bedroom exposure to a bat while sleeping and without recognized contact is rare. Conversely, such exposures are not uncommon in the population, and the resources required for associated RPEP are orders of magnitude higher than those required for most interventions that are considered to be reasonable. Current RPEP recommendations related to occult bat contact should be reconsidered.

摘要

背景

我们评估了自20世纪90年代末以来针对隐匿性蝙蝠接触提供狂犬病暴露后预防(RPEP)的建议的科学依据和实际影响,包括向在睡眠时卧室中有蝙蝠接触但无直接身体接触证据的人提供RPEP的建议。

方法

将卧室中接触蝙蝠后的治疗所需人数计算为暴露人群百分比乘以粗狂犬病发病率的倒数。在对14453户家庭的人口调查中估计了卧室接触情况。发病率基于1990 - 2007年加拿大和美国报告的人类病例。

结果

在接受调查的人群中,睡眠时卧室接触蝙蝠且无已知身体接触的年发生率为0.099%。我们估计,只有不到5%符合条件的卧室接触者按建议接受了RPEP。因卧室接触蝙蝠但无公认接触而导致的人类狂犬病发病率为每27亿人年1例。在这种情况下,预防一例人类狂犬病所需治疗的人数在31.4万至270万人之间。要预防一例因卧室接触蝙蝠但无公认接触而导致的人类狂犬病病例,总共需要293至2500名全职医护人员工作一整年。相关材料成本还额外需要2.28亿加元至20亿加元。

结论

睡眠时在卧室中接触蝙蝠且无公认接触而感染人类狂犬病的情况很少见。相反,这种接触在人群中并不罕见,且相关RPEP所需资源比大多数被认为合理的干预措施所需资源高出几个数量级。应重新考虑当前与隐匿性蝙蝠接触相关的RPEP建议。

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