Zhang Jun-yong, Kuai Jing-hua, Jia Ji-dong, Wang Bao-en, Qin Cheng-yong
Department of Degestive Disease, Shandong Provincial Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan 250021, China.
Zhonghua Gan Zang Bing Za Zhi. 2009 Apr;17(4):263-5.
To evaluate the effect of portal hypertension on prognosis in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis.
The clinical data of decompensated cirrhosis patients in our hospital, between 2003 and 2006, were retrospected and followed up. Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) classification was calculated using the standard formula. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to compare the mortality in subgroups ranked by the syndromes. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to evaluate the effect of the syndromes on prognosis.
A cohort of 322 patients was admitted in this study at the end of the follow-up. The mortality of variceal bleeding, hepatic encephalopathy, a large volume ascites, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, the type I and type II hepatorenal syndrome was 45.9%, 79.4%, 66.7%, 100%, 100% and 84.6% respectively. On the whole, the occurrence of all the syndromes was correlated with CTP classification and MELD score. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that all of these syndromes, except for low to medium volume of ascites, significantly affected the survival rate (P<0.01). In Cox regression analysis, all the syndromes were the independent predictors of prognosis, the regression coefficient values of hepatic encephalopathy, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, type I and type II hepatorenal syndrome, variceal bleeding and ascites were 0.973, 0.928, 0.935, 0.866, 0.464 and 0.369 respectively.
The portal hypertensive syndromes have significant effect on the prognosis of the patients with decompensated cirrhosis, hepatic encephalopathy is the worst one.
评估门静脉高压对失代偿期肝硬化患者预后的影响。
回顾性分析我院2003年至2006年收治的失代偿期肝硬化患者的临床资料并进行随访。采用标准公式计算终末期肝病模型(MELD)评分和Child-Turcotte-Pugh(CTP)分级。采用Kaplan-Meier生存分析比较按综合征分类的亚组患者的死亡率。采用Cox比例风险回归评估综合征对预后的影响。
本研究共纳入322例患者,随访结束时进行分析。静脉曲张破裂出血、肝性脑病、大量腹水、自发性细菌性腹膜炎、I型和II型肝肾综合征患者的死亡率分别为45.9%、79.4%、66.7%、100%、100%和84.6%。总体而言,所有综合征的发生均与CTP分级和MELD评分相关。Kaplan-Meier生存分析显示,除中少量腹水外,所有这些综合征均显著影响生存率(P<0.01)。在Cox回归分析中,所有综合征均为预后的独立预测因素,肝性脑病、自发性细菌性腹膜炎、I型和II型肝肾综合征、静脉曲张破裂出血和腹水的回归系数值分别为0.973、0.928、0.935、0.866、0.464和0.369。
门静脉高压综合征对失代偿期肝硬化患者的预后有显著影响,其中肝性脑病影响最差。