Tu P
Institute of Population Research, Peking University, Beijing, People's Republic of China.
Stud Fam Plann. 1991 Jul-Aug;22(4):255-63.
This study shows that most women in Shaanxi Province, China try to have their first birth as soon as possible after their first marriage, and that the length of the interval between marriage and first birth is strongly correlated with the woman's age at first marriage. The length of the second and third birth intervals and the likelihood of going on to have a second or third birth are strongly influenced by the sex composition of children already born, the survival time of the child initiating the interval, the duration of breastfeeding, and the woman's occupation. There is significant regional variation in the length of birth intervals and in the prevalence of second and third births in Shaanxi. The findings indicate that China's one-child policy is far from being universally accepted in Shaanxi, including its urban areas. The persistence of many social, economic, institutional, and cultural factors promoting high fertility poses many obstacles to further fertility decline.
本研究表明,中国陕西省的大多数女性在初婚后都试图尽快生育第一胎,而且初婚与第一胎生育间隔的长短与女性初婚年龄密切相关。第二胎和第三胎生育间隔的长短以及生育第二胎或第三胎的可能性,受到已生育子女的性别构成、开始计算间隔的孩子的存活时间、母乳喂养时间以及女性职业的强烈影响。陕西省在生育间隔长短以及第二胎和第三胎生育比例方面存在显著的地区差异。研究结果表明,中国的独生子女政策在陕西远未得到普遍接受,包括其城市地区。许多促进高生育率的社会、经济、制度和文化因素持续存在,给进一步降低生育率带来了诸多障碍。