Department of Intensive Care, Erasme Hospital, Université Libre de Bruxelles, 1070 Brussels, Belgium.
J Crit Care. 2009 Dec;24(4):590-4. doi: 10.1016/j.jcrc.2009.03.009. Epub 2009 Jul 3.
The objective of this study was to develop a model to identify patients in whom drotrecogin alfa (activated) (DAA) might be administered for periods shorter than the recommended 96 hours.
We did a retrospective chart review of all 124 patients treated with a standard 96-hour infusion of DAA in a 31-bed department of intensive care. Using a stepwise approach, we identified and combined parameters that could help predict outcomes to achieve the best sensitivity associated with 100% specificity.
Twenty-one (17%) of the 124 patients had a favorable outcome (left the intensive care unit within 5 days of DAA initiation); of these, 11 had an increase in arterial pH in the first 24 hours of treatment compared with 22 (21%) of the 103 patients with intermediate (intensive care unit stay >5 days after DAA initiation) or unfavorable (died within 5 days of DAA initiation) outcomes (P = not significant). Eight (72.7%) of these 11 patients and no other patient showed a decrease in sequential organ failure assessment score of at least 50% during the first 24 hours (P < .001). By combining these 2 variables, we could identify, with 100% specificity, 8 of the patients with a favorable outcome (38%) who made a prompt recovery.
A simple model based on sequential organ failure assessment score and arterial pH can help identify patients with a rapid favorable course in whom a shorter duration of DAA treatment may be justified.
本研究旨在建立一个模型,以确定患者是否可以在推荐的 96 小时内接受较短时间的 drotrecogin alfa(激活)(DAA)治疗。
我们对在 31 张重症监护病床的部门接受标准 96 小时 DAA 输注治疗的 124 名患者进行了回顾性图表审查。使用逐步方法,我们确定并结合了可以帮助预测结果的参数,以实现与 100%特异性相关的最佳敏感性。
124 名患者中有 21 名(17%)有良好的预后(在 DAA 开始后 5 天内离开重症监护病房);其中 11 名患者在治疗的前 24 小时内动脉 pH 值增加,而在 103 名预后中等(DAA 开始后 5 天内入住重症监护病房)或不良(在 DAA 开始后 5 天内死亡)的患者中,有 22 名(21%)患者的动脉 pH 值增加(P=无显著差异)。这 11 名患者中有 8 名(72.7%)和其他患者无一例外地在治疗的前 24 小时内序贯器官衰竭评估评分下降至少 50%(P<0.001)。通过结合这两个变量,我们可以确定,特异性为 100%,有 8 名预后良好(38%)的患者能够迅速康复。
基于序贯器官衰竭评估评分和动脉 pH 值的简单模型可以帮助确定具有快速良好病程的患者,这些患者可能需要较短的 DAA 治疗时间。