Schiøler Karin L, Macpherson Calum N
Department of International Health, Immunology, and Microbiology, University of Copenhagen, Denmark.
Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2009 Aug;81(2):280-6.
The Caribbean region has experienced a major surge in dengue activity in recent decades. Yet, for many, and especially the smaller islands, the true extent and general epidemiology of dengue transmission remains unclear because of inadequate systems of surveillance and reporting. We established an active surveillance system supported by laboratory-based diagnosis on the small island of Grenada, from January 2001 through June 2002. The surveillance data provided evidence of three distinct modes of disease dynamics in the form of low endemic, pre-epidemic, and overt epidemic transmission of mostly benign dengue fever. A shift in serotype activity and modal age was evident during the noted transition, with the more densely populated south end of the island presenting the focus of transmission.
近几十年来,加勒比地区登革热疫情大幅激增。然而,对于许多地区,尤其是较小的岛屿而言,由于监测和报告系统不完善,登革热传播的真实范围和总体流行病学情况仍不明确。2001年1月至2002年6月期间,我们在格林纳达这个小岛上建立了一个由实验室诊断支持的主动监测系统。监测数据提供了三种不同疾病动态模式的证据,分别表现为大多数为良性登革热的低流行、流行前和明显流行传播形式。在所述转变过程中,血清型活动和发病年龄模式发生了明显变化,该岛人口更为密集的南端成为传播焦点。