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时间序列中的超统计涨落:在股价动态和湍流中的应用。

Superstatistical fluctuations in time series: applications to share-price dynamics and turbulence.

作者信息

Van der Straeten Erik, Beck Christian

机构信息

Queen Mary University of London, School of Mathematical Sciences, Mile End Road, London E1 4NS, United Kingdom.

出版信息

Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 2009 Sep;80(3 Pt 2):036108. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.80.036108. Epub 2009 Sep 14.

Abstract

We report a general technique to study a given experimental time series with superstatistics. Crucial for the applicability of the superstatistics concept is the existence of a parameter beta that fluctuates on a large time scale as compared to the other time scales of the complex system under consideration. The proposed method extracts the main superstatistical parameters out of a given data set and examines the validity of the superstatistical model assumptions. We test the method thoroughly with surrogate data sets. Then the applicability of the superstatistical approach is illustrated using real experimental data. We study two examples, velocity time series measured in turbulent Taylor-Couette flows and time series of log returns of the closing prices of some stock market indices.

摘要

我们报告了一种用超统计研究给定实验时间序列的通用技术。超统计概念适用性的关键在于存在一个参数β,与所考虑的复杂系统的其他时间尺度相比,它在大时间尺度上波动。所提出的方法从给定数据集中提取主要的超统计参数,并检验超统计模型假设的有效性。我们用替代数据集对该方法进行了全面测试。然后,使用实际实验数据说明了超统计方法的适用性。我们研究了两个例子,在湍流泰勒-库埃特流中测量的速度时间序列和一些股票市场指数收盘价的对数收益率时间序列。

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