Department of Surgical Sciences, Section of Vascular Surgery, Uppsala University Hospital, SE-751 85 Uppsala, Sweden.
Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg. 2010 Feb;39(2):208-16. doi: 10.1016/j.ejvs.2009.11.004. Epub 2009 Nov 25.
Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) in high-risk groups has been recommended based on a high prevalence of disease, while being questioned due to a high frequency of co-morbidities and inferior life-expectancy. We evaluated the long-term outcome and the cost-effectiveness of selective AAA screening among patients referred to the vascular laboratory for arterial examination.
A total of 5,924 patients, referred to the vascular laboratory of a university hospital, were screened for AAA with ultrasound (definition: slashed circle>or=30 mm), 1993-2005. Outcome data were gathered through hospital records and the national population registry. A Markov model was used for health-economic evaluation.
An AAA was detected in 181 patients (mean age 72.8 years), of whom 21.5% underwent elective repair (perioperative mortality 5.1%) after 7.5 years of follow-up. Four of six patients diagnosed with AAA rupture were operated upon. Relative 5-year survival compared with the general Swedish population, controlled for age and sex, was 80.4% (95% confidence interval (CI): 70.8-88.8). The cost-effectiveness was robust in base-case (11,084 Euro/life year gained) and in sensitivity analyses of prevalence, cost and survival.
Patients in whom AAA was detected at selective screening had inferior long-term survival and were operated on less frequently, compared with AAA patients described in previous studies. Yet, selective screening at the vascular laboratory was cost-effective.
基于疾病的高患病率,建议对高危人群进行腹主动脉瘤(AAA)筛查,同时由于合并症的高频率和预期寿命的降低,这种筛查也受到质疑。我们评估了选择性 AAA 筛查在因动脉检查而转至血管实验室的患者中的长期结果和成本效益。
2005 年,对大学医院血管实验室的 5924 名患者进行了 AAA 的超声筛查(定义: slashed circle≥30mm)。通过医院记录和国家人口登记处收集了结果数据。使用 Markov 模型进行健康经济学评估。
在 181 名患者(平均年龄 72.8 岁)中发现了 AAA,其中 1993-2005 年有 21.5%的患者接受了择期修复(围手术期死亡率 5.1%),随访 7.5 年后。6 名诊断为 AAA 破裂的患者中有 4 名接受了手术。与年龄和性别相匹配的瑞典普通人群相比,相对 5 年生存率为 80.4%(95%置信区间(CI):70.8-88.8)。在基准案例(11084 欧元/生命年获益)和对患病率、成本和生存的敏感性分析中,成本效益均具有稳健性。
与以前研究中描述的 AAA 患者相比,在选择性筛查中发现 AAA 的患者的长期生存情况较差,手术治疗也较少。然而,血管实验室的选择性筛查具有成本效益。