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儿童数量与上一代的代际金融转移:来自香港的证据。

Number of children and upstream intergenerational financial transfers: evidence from Hong Kong.

机构信息

Department of Social Work and Social Administration, University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Nil, Hong Kong, China.

出版信息

J Gerontol B Psychol Sci Soc Sci. 2010 Mar;65B(2):227-35. doi: 10.1093/geronb/gbp103. Epub 2009 Dec 14.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

This study examined financial transfers from adult children to elderly parents in Hong Kong and tested three hypotheses about the motives for such transfers. We address previous research, suggesting that family financial support for retirees will decline in the coming decades as a consequence of the reduction in the fertility rate; we also examine whether financial transfers are a function of the number of adult children in the family.

METHODS

We used multiple regression models based on data from a representative sample of parents aged 60 years and older to identify the correlates of the amount of transfers from adult children to their elderly parents.

RESULTS

We found evidence for the hypothesis that upstream transfers to elderly parents are their way of withdrawing savings from a "support bank" in which they made contribution for their children's education earlier in life and that transfers are altruistic in nature, but our results provide only moderate support to the old age security hypothesis that perceives family as a source of capital.

DISCUSSION

The number of children has a ceiling effect on transfers, which calls into question common assumptions about the extent to which the decline in fertility will pose a severe threat to the extent of familial support of older persons over the coming decades.

摘要

目的

本研究考察了香港成年子女向老年父母的经济转移,并检验了关于这种转移动机的三个假设。我们探讨了此前的研究,即由于生育率下降,未来几十年退休人员的家庭经济支持将会减少;我们还研究了家庭中成年子女的数量是否会影响经济转移。

方法

我们使用基于代表性的 60 岁及以上父母样本数据的多元回归模型,确定成年子女向其老年父母转移金额的相关因素。

结果

我们的研究结果支持这样一种假设,即向上流向老年父母的转移是他们从“支持银行”中提取储蓄的一种方式,他们早年为子女的教育做出了贡献,而这种转移本质上是利他主义的,但我们的结果仅为家庭作为资本来源的老年保障假设提供了一定程度的支持。

讨论

孩子的数量对转移有上限效应,这对未来几十年生育率下降对老年人家庭支持程度构成严重威胁的程度提出了质疑。

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