University of Southern Mississippi, 118 College Drive, #5022, Hattiesburg, MS 39406, USA.
J Gambl Stud. 2010 Jun;26(2):287-300. doi: 10.1007/s10899-009-9166-4.
This study uses an event history analysis to examine the factors that lead to the adoption of casino gambling among 13 nations around the world. Specifically, measures of fiscal stress, economic development, tourism, religiosity, and income levels are tested for their relationship to national decisions to legalize casino gambling. This study found that economic development needs, as measured by general unemployment rates, were associated with the casino legalization decisions of national governments. Higher unemployment rates were more likely in the years that nations legalized casino gambling. Religiosity, measured by frequency of church attendance, was also found to be a significant barrier in legalization decisions. Measures of fiscal stress, tourism, and income levels were not found to have significant relationships with the legalization decisions. This is interesting because these factors are often cited in case studies, media reports, and the statements of politicians during legalization processes. This study points to the need for further research in several areas. Further exploration of potential explanatory variables and more appropriate measures of currently theorized factors is warranted. Another area for further research is the seeming contradictory findings of multiple statistical analyses and multiple anecdotal findings of the impacts of fiscal stress on the casino legalization decision.
本研究采用事件史分析方法,考察了全球 13 个国家和地区导致赌场赌博合法化的因素。具体来说,本研究检验了财政压力、经济发展、旅游、宗教信仰和收入水平等指标与国家决定赌场合法化之间的关系。研究发现,以一般失业率衡量的经济发展需求与各国政府的赌场合法化决策有关。在赌场合法化的年份,失业率往往更高。宗教信仰,以参加教堂活动的频率来衡量,也是合法化决策的一个重要障碍。财政压力、旅游和收入水平的衡量指标与合法化决策没有显著关系。这很有趣,因为这些因素经常在案例研究、媒体报道和政治家在合法化过程中的声明中被提及。本研究指出了几个需要进一步研究的领域。需要进一步探索潜在的解释变量和目前理论化因素的更适当衡量标准。另一个需要进一步研究的领域是对财政压力对赌场合法化决策影响的多重统计分析和多种传闻发现的看似矛盾的结果。