Kaufmann Peter A, Smolle Karl H, Krejs Guenter J
Department of Internal Medicine, Medical University of Graz, Austria.
Curr Aging Sci. 2009 Dec;2(3):240-8. doi: 10.2174/1874609810902030240.
OBJECTIVE: To identify variables associated with mortality in the ICU and 1 year following discharge. DESIGN: Prospective observational cohort study. SETTING: ICU of a tertiary care center and university hospital. PATIENTS: A total of 3,119 medical and neurological intensive care patients. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Pre-admission health status was quantified by the sum of risk factors and chronic diseases. Severity of the acute disease was estimated by counting the number of organ dysfunctions and the Acute Physiology Score. Concerning the primarily affected organ system, ICU mortality was highest in hematological diseases (63%) and 1-year mortality was 82%. Lowest death rates were observed with metabolic (ICU 4%, 1-yr 18%) and psychiatric diagnoses (ICU 5%, 1-yr 13%). Greater severity of illness with the need for mechanical life support was associated with decreased 1-year survival. In the respiratory and in renal diseases, the artificial support of the primarily affected organ system incurred an ICU mortality equaling the average (23%) or below (14%) that of the whole ICU population. Pre-admission health status increased the probability of developing multiple organ failure and worsened outcome 1 year after discharge in non-cardiovascular patients. Age showed a weak correlation with chronic diseases and severity of the acute illness and was related to long-term, but not short-term survival. CONCLUSIONS: The most important risk factors associated with short- and long-term mortality in non-surgical intensive care patients are disease severity and the primarily affected organ system that necessitates admission. The artificial support of this organ system can improve only short-term outcome.
目的:确定与重症监护病房(ICU)死亡率及出院后1年死亡率相关的变量。 设计:前瞻性观察队列研究。 地点:三级医疗中心及大学医院的ICU。 患者:共3119例内科和神经科重症监护患者。 测量指标及主要结果:入院前健康状况通过危险因素和慢性病总和进行量化。急性疾病严重程度通过计算器官功能障碍数量和急性生理评分来评估。就主要受累器官系统而言,血液系统疾病的ICU死亡率最高(63%),1年死亡率为82%。代谢性疾病(ICU死亡率4%,1年死亡率18%)和精神疾病诊断(ICU死亡率5%,1年死亡率13%)的死亡率最低。需要机械生命支持的疾病严重程度增加与1年生存率降低相关。在呼吸系统和肾脏疾病中,主要受累器官系统的人工支持导致的ICU死亡率等于(23%)或低于(14%)整个ICU人群的平均水平。入院前健康状况增加了非心血管患者发生多器官功能衰竭的可能性,并使出院后1年的预后恶化。年龄与慢性病和急性疾病严重程度呈弱相关,与长期而非短期生存相关。 结论:非手术重症监护患者短期和长期死亡的最重要危险因素是疾病严重程度和需要入院治疗的主要受累器官系统。该器官系统的人工支持仅能改善短期预后。
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