Monahan Kathryn C, Piquero Alex R
University of Washington.
Crim Justice Behav. 2009 Jul 1;36(7):653-673. doi: 10.1177/0093854809335527.
Researchers interested in longitudinal patterns of criminal offending have paid close attention to several dimensions of criminal careers. Although it might be expected that several dimensions are strongly linked to one another, research has not explored their joint distribution. The study uses trajectory-based methodology to examine the joint relation between offending variety and offending frequency in a large sample of serious offenders from adolescence to early adulthood and also tests how several risk factors relate to the joint covariation between variety and frequency. Results indicate strong concordance between low and high rate variety and frequency trajectories but a more modest concordance among moderate rate variety and frequency trajectories. Criminal history, individual, parent, and peer characteristics predict differences in concordance between variety and frequency trajectories. Theoretical implications and directions for further research are outlined.
对犯罪行为纵向模式感兴趣的研究人员密切关注了犯罪生涯的几个维度。尽管可以预期几个维度之间存在紧密联系,但研究尚未探讨它们的联合分布。该研究采用基于轨迹的方法,在一个从青春期到成年早期的严重犯罪者大样本中,检验犯罪多样性与犯罪频率之间的联合关系,并测试几个风险因素如何与多样性和频率之间的联合协变相关。结果表明,低发案率和高发案率的多样性与频率轨迹之间存在很强的一致性,但中等发案率的多样性与频率轨迹之间的一致性则较为适度。犯罪史、个人、父母和同伴特征可预测多样性与频率轨迹之间一致性的差异。文章概述了理论意义和进一步研究的方向。