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三种用于预测急性阿米替林过量中毒剂量的计算机模型的比较。

A comparison of three computer models for prediction of dose in acute amitriptyline overdose.

作者信息

Wimbish G, Shores J, Spiehler V

机构信息

Institute of Forensic Medicine, Texas College of Osteopathic Medicine, Fort Worth.

出版信息

J Forensic Sci. 1991 Jan;36(1):153-65.

PMID:2007865
Abstract

The pharmacokinetics of amitriptyline in overdose have been reported not to fit conventional compartmental models. In this study, the dose-concentration-time relationships of amitriptyline in overdose were modeled with discriminant analysis, with an evolutionary heuristic search program, and with a decision-tree model based on the entropy of uncertainty of classification. The computer models all used the same data from dogs administered treatment (80 mg/kg), toxic (250 mg/kg), or fatal (500 mg/kg) doses directly into the surgically isolated duodenum. All the models achieved a high degree of success (77 to 93%) in assigning records to the high-, low-, or middle-dose groups. Two of the models gave a probability of the assignment. Results of this analysis suggest that blood amitriptyline and nortriptyline concentrations are most useful in estimating dose in acute amitriptyline overdose.

摘要

据报道,过量服用阿米替林时的药代动力学不符合传统的房室模型。在本研究中,采用判别分析、进化启发式搜索程序以及基于分类不确定性熵的决策树模型,对过量服用阿米替林时的剂量 - 浓度 - 时间关系进行建模。所有计算机模型均使用了相同的数据,这些数据来自直接向经手术分离的十二指肠内给予治疗剂量(80毫克/千克)、中毒剂量(250毫克/千克)或致死剂量(500毫克/千克)的犬只。所有模型在将记录分配到高、低或中剂量组方面均取得了高度成功(77%至93%)。其中两个模型给出了分配概率。该分析结果表明,血液中阿米替林和去甲替林浓度在估计急性阿米替林过量服用时的剂量方面最为有用。

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