Roques L, Hamel F, Fayard J, Fady B, Klein E K
UR 546 Biostatistique et Processus Spatiaux, INRA, F-84000 Avignon, France.
Theor Popul Biol. 2010 May;77(3):205-12. doi: 10.1016/j.tpb.2010.02.002. Epub 2010 Feb 18.
Diffusion is one of the most frequently used assumptions to explain dispersal. Diffusion models and in particular reaction-diffusion equations usually lead to solutions moving at constant speeds, too slow compared to observations. As early as 1899, Reid had found that the rate of spread of tree species migrating to northern environments at the beginning of the Holocene was too fast to be explained by diffusive dispersal. Rapid spreading is generally explained using long distance dispersal events, modelled through integro-differential equations (IDEs) with exponentially unbounded (EU) kernels, i.e. decaying slower than any exponential. We show here that classical reaction-diffusion models of the Fisher-Kolmogorov-Petrovsky-Piskunov type can produce patterns of colonisation very similar to those of IDEs, if the initial population is EU at the beginning of the considered colonisation event. Many similarities between reaction-diffusion models with EU initial data and IDEs with EU kernels are found; in particular comparable accelerating rates of spread and flattening of the solutions. There was previously no systematic mathematical theory for such reaction-diffusion models with EU initial data. Yet, EU initial data can easily be understood as consequences of colonisation-retraction events and lead to fast spreading and accelerating rates of spread without the long distance hypothesis.
扩散是用于解释种群扩散的最常用假设之一。扩散模型,特别是反应扩散方程,通常会得出以恒定速度移动的解,但与观测结果相比速度过慢。早在1899年,里德就发现,全新世初期向北方环境迁移的树种扩散速度太快,无法用扩散传播来解释。快速扩散通常用长距离扩散事件来解释,通过具有指数无界(EU)核的积分微分方程(IDE)进行建模,即衰减速度比任何指数函数都慢。我们在此表明,如果初始种群在考虑的定殖事件开始时是EU型的,那么费希尔 - 柯尔莫哥洛夫 - 彼得罗夫斯基 - 皮斯库诺夫类型的经典反应扩散模型可以产生与IDE模型非常相似的定殖模式。发现具有EU初始数据的反应扩散模型与具有EU核的IDE模型之间存在许多相似之处;特别是解的可比加速扩散速率和变平情况。以前对于具有EU初始数据的此类反应扩散模型没有系统的数学理论。然而,EU初始数据很容易被理解为定殖 - 回缩事件的结果,并且在没有长距离假设的情况下导致快速扩散和加速扩散速率。