Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University, 1116 Forest Avenue, Palo Alto, CA 94301, USA.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2010 Jan;7(1):29-45. doi: 10.3390/ijerph7010029. Epub 2009 Dec 31.
Epidemiological studies often produce false positive results due to use of statistical approaches that either ignore or distort time. The three time-related issues of focus in this discussion are: (1) cross-sectional vs. cohort studies, (2) statistical significance vs. public health significance, and (3), how risk factors "work together" to impact public health significance. The issue of time should be central to all thinking in epidemiology research, affecting sampling, measurement, design, analysis and, perhaps most important, the interpretation of results that might influence clinical and public-health decision-making and subsequent clinical research.
流行病学研究由于使用了忽视或扭曲时间的统计方法,常常产生假阳性结果。本次讨论重点关注三个与时间相关的问题:(1)横断面研究与队列研究,(2)统计显著性与公共卫生显著性,以及(3)危险因素如何“共同作用”影响公共卫生显著性。时间问题应该成为流行病学研究中所有思考的核心,影响采样、测量、设计、分析,也许最重要的是,影响可能影响临床和公共卫生决策以及随后的临床研究的结果解释。