National Center for Healthcare Audit and Inspection, Budapest, Hungary.
World J Biol Psychiatry. 2010 Apr;11(3):579-85. doi: 10.3109/15622970903397722.
Studies show that the seasonality of suicide (spring/early summer peak, winter low) is mainly the consequence of the seasonal incidence of depression-related suicides. The aim of the present study was to analyse the relationship between increasing antidepressant utilization and national suicide rate of Hungary between 1998 and 2006, with particular regard to seasonal patterns and gender differences.
Time trend analysis (ARIMA) had been applied to investigate the correlation between the trend of antidepressant prescription and both of suicide rates and seasonality index.
During the 9 years of the study period there was a significant (P<0.001) correlation between the steadily increasing antidepressant prescription (113%) and continuous decline in total national suicide rate (23%) as well as both in females and males (21 and 23%, respectively), but this relationship was 8-fold stronger in males. Increasing antidepressant utilization was associated with significantly decreased seasonality of suicides only among males.
The results suggest that decreasing seasonality of suicides could be a good marker of lowering rate of depression-related suicides in the population particularly among males.
研究表明,自杀的季节性(春季/初夏高峰,冬季低谷)主要是与抑郁相关自杀的季节性发病有关。本研究的目的是分析 1998 年至 2006 年期间匈牙利抗抑郁药使用量的增加与国家自杀率之间的关系,特别关注季节性模式和性别差异。
时间趋势分析(ARIMA)被应用于研究抗抑郁药处方趋势与自杀率和季节性指数之间的相关性。
在研究期间的 9 年中,抗抑郁药处方的持续增加(113%)与全国自杀率的持续下降(23%)以及女性和男性的自杀率下降(分别为 21%和 23%)之间存在显著相关性(P<0.001),但这种相关性在男性中要强 8 倍。抗抑郁药使用量的增加与男性自杀季节性的显著降低有关。
研究结果表明,自杀季节性的降低可能是人群中与抑郁相关自杀率下降的一个很好的标志物,尤其是在男性中。