Department of Cardiology, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, 155 Nanjing North Street, Heping, Shenyang, China.
J Atheroscler Thromb. 2010 Jul 30;17(7):759-67. doi: 10.5551/jat.4093. Epub 2010 Mar 13.
Whether a low ankle-brachial index can improve the prediction of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality on top of conventional risk factors remains unclear among patients with ischemic heart disease. The present study aimed to assess the association between the ankle-brachial index and mortality in Chinese patients.
This was an observational prospective study and 1,800 Chinese patients aged > or =35 years were followed-up from 2004 to 2007-2008.
There were 280 deaths, of which 165 were attributable to cardiovascular disease. Compared with patients with an ankle-brachial index > or =1.1, the risk of mortality increased linearly in lower ankle-brachial index categories: patients with an ankle-brachial index of 0.9 to 1.1, 0.7 to 0.9, <0.7 had hazard ratios of 1.60, 2.07, and 3.08 for all-cause mortality and 1.89, 2.33, and 4.09 for cardiovascular mortality (p for trend <0.001), respectively. Addition of the ankle-brachial index significantly (p<0.001) increased the predictive value of the model for 3-year deaths compared with a model including risk factors alone. Comparison of areas under receiver operator characteristics curves confirmed that a model including the ankle-brachial index discriminated better than without.
There was an inverse association between the ankle-brachial index and mortality. Addition of the ankle-brachial index significantly improved the prediction of 3-year mortality over and above that of conventional risk factors. We recommend that the ankle-brachial index be incorporated into prognostic assessment for patients with ischemic heart disease.
在缺血性心脏病患者中,踝臂指数(ABI)能否在传统危险因素的基础上进一步提高全因和心血管死亡率的预测效果仍不清楚。本研究旨在评估 ABI 与中国患者死亡率之间的关系。
这是一项观察性前瞻性研究,共纳入 1800 例年龄≥35 岁的中国患者,随访时间为 2004 年至 2007-2008 年。
共有 280 例患者死亡,其中 165 例死于心血管疾病。与 ABI≥1.1 的患者相比,ABI 较低的患者死亡率呈线性增加:ABI 为 0.9 至 1.1、0.7 至 0.9 和<0.7 的患者全因死亡率的危险比分别为 1.60、2.07 和 3.08,心血管死亡率的危险比分别为 1.89、2.33 和 4.09(p 趋势<0.001)。与仅包含危险因素的模型相比,ABI 的加入显著增加了(p<0.001)该模型对 3 年死亡率的预测价值。接受者操作特征曲线下面积的比较证实,包含 ABI 的模型比不包含 ABI 的模型具有更好的区分能力。
ABI 与死亡率呈负相关。ABI 的加入显著提高了常规危险因素预测 3 年死亡率的效果。我们建议将 ABI 纳入缺血性心脏病患者的预后评估中。