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婴儿潮一代即将退休:最健康的一代?

Baby boomers nearing retirement: the healthiest generation?

机构信息

Epidemiology & Public Health Group, Peninsula Medical School, Exeter, United Kingdom.

出版信息

Rejuvenation Res. 2010 Feb;13(1):105-14. doi: 10.1089/rej.2009.0896.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The baby-boom generation is entering retirement. Having experienced unprecedented prosperity and improved medical technology, they should be the healthiest generation ever.

METHODS

We compared prevalence of disease and risk factors at ages 50-61 years in baby boomers with the preceding generation and attributed differences to period or cohort effects. Data were from the Health Survey for England (HSE) from 1994 to 2007 (n = 48,563). Logistic regression models compared health status between birth cohorts. Age-period-cohort models identified cohort and period effects separately.

RESULTS

Compared to the wartime generation, the baby-boomer group was heavier (3.02 kg; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.42-3.63; p < 0.001) and reported more diagnoses of hypertension (odds ratio [OR] = 1.48; CI, 1.27-1.72; p < 0.001), diabetes (OR = 1.71; CI, 1.37-2.12; p < 0.001), and mental illness (OR = 1.90; CI, 1.54-2.53; p < 0.001). Baby boomers reported fewer heart attacks (OR = 0.61; CI, 0.47-0.79; p < 0.001) and had lower measured blood pressures (systolic -9.51 mmHg; CI, -8.7 to -10.31; p <0.001; diastolic, -2.5 mmHg; CI, -1.99 to -3.01; p < 0.001). Higher diagnosed mental disorder prevalence was attributable to a cohort effect (prevalence for 1935-1939 cohort, 2.5%, vs.1950-1954 cohort, 4.7%), whereas changes in diagnoses of diabetes and hypertension and measured body mass index were primarily period effects.

CONCLUSION

English baby boomers are moving toward retirement with improved cardiovascular health. However, the baby-boomer cohort has a higher prevalence of mental illness diagnoses and shows no improvement in self-rated health compared to the wartime birth cohort. There remains substantial scope to reduce health risks and future disability.

摘要

背景

婴儿潮一代正在步入退休年龄。他们经历了前所未有的繁荣和医疗技术的进步,应该是有史以来最健康的一代。

方法

我们比较了婴儿潮一代和前一代在 50-61 岁时的疾病患病率和风险因素,并将差异归因于时期或队列效应。数据来自 1994 年至 2007 年的英国健康调查(HSE)(n=48563)。使用逻辑回归模型比较了不同出生队列之间的健康状况。年龄-时期-队列模型分别确定了队列和时期效应。

结果

与战时出生的一代相比,婴儿潮一代的体重更重(3.02 公斤;95%置信区间[CI],2.42-3.63;p<0.001),并报告了更多的高血压(优势比[OR]=1.48;CI,1.27-1.72;p<0.001)、糖尿病(OR=1.71;CI,1.37-2.12;p<0.001)和精神疾病(OR=1.90;CI,1.54-2.53;p<0.001)的诊断。婴儿潮一代报告的心脏病发作较少(OR=0.61;CI,0.47-0.79;p<0.001),血压测量值较低(收缩压-9.51 毫米汞柱;CI,-8.7 至-10.31;p<0.001;舒张压,-2.5 毫米汞柱;CI,-1.99 至-3.01;p<0.001)。精神障碍诊断率的上升归因于队列效应(1935-1939 队列的患病率为 2.5%,而 1950-1954 队列的患病率为 4.7%),而糖尿病和高血压诊断以及身体质量指数的变化主要是时期效应。

结论

英国婴儿潮一代在心血管健康方面正在走向退休,但与战时出生的一代相比,婴儿潮一代的精神疾病诊断率更高,自我报告的健康状况没有改善。还有很大的空间可以降低健康风险和未来的残疾程度。

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