A prospective matched nested case-control study of bacterial gill disease outbreaks in Ontario, Canada government salmonid hatcheries.

Early-rearing salmonids in Ontario, Canada government fish hatcheries have been persistently affected by bacterial gill disease (BGD), and outbreaks at these locations have often been associated with high morbidity and mortality. The causative agent of BGD, Flavobacterium branchiophilum, is ubiquitous in fresh water, and outbreaks of BGD are considered to be associated with deleterious environmental conditions. This paper summarizes a 14-month rearing unit-level prospective nested matched case-control investigation at six Ontario government hatcheries (raising a total of six different salmonid species) to identify, and quantify the effects of, important predictors of BGD outbreaks. Ongoing husbandry data were collected on all early-rearing (<9 months of age) fish tank-lots ("tank-lot"=a group of fish from a specific lot existing in a single hatchery tank for a given period during the study time frame) at participating hatcheries, and all outbreaks of BGD were confirmed by light microscopy during the study period. Control tank-lots were selected at the end of the study and matched to individual cases based on time, hatchery, and species. Data were analyzed using logistic regression modeling, controlling for fish age. The final multivariable model indicated that affected tank-lots were significantly more likely to have had lower fish numbers, lower individual fish weights, higher mortality levels and higher feeding rates during the week preceding observed BGD outbreaks than were asymptomatic control tank-lots. Refinements in the observation and manipulation of these factors could therefore aid in the prevention of fish losses associated with observable BGD outbreaks. The predictive (as opposed to causal) nature of the identified factors needs to be considered, and further research is required to understand the relationships between these factors and BGD.