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[铁路交通事故的流行病学特征及成因]

[Epidemiological features and causes of railway traffic accidents].

作者信息

Zhou D S

机构信息

Nanjing Railway Medical College.

出版信息

Zhonghua Yu Fang Yi Xue Za Zhi. 1991 Jan;25(1):26-9.

PMID:2036908
Abstract

This article reports on epidemiological features of railway traffic accidents and factors influencing traffic safety. An analysis of various kinds of railway traffic accidents over 30 years in Nanjing Railway Branch, Showed that railway traffic accidents have become a sort of modern social disease, and had particular epidemiological features. The peak of the epidemic curve appeared cyclically and had a close relation to social disturbances, Frequency of accident occurrence was the highest in the first season (period of spring transport) and the third season (period of high temperature) of the year thus most accidents happen in February and August. Most accidents occurred on Fridays and least on Mondays. Distribution of accidents had obvious "antenna" phenomenon in round graph which had a 24-hour cycle. Analysing the multiple factors influencing traffic safety, the results showed that the upper-limit-age of a train driver should not be more than 50 years old; The phenomenon "bathtub" between personage accident rate and age must be taken seriously. More attention should be paid to the psychological aspects when recruiting train drivers. In our country, it is urgent to set up standard of psychomovement function for choosing train locomotive drivers. Fatigue was one of the direct causes resulting in accident occurrences. No statistical correlation was found between biorhythm and accident occurrence.

摘要

本文报道了铁路交通事故的流行病学特征及影响交通安全的因素。对南京铁路分局30多年来各类铁路交通事故的分析表明,铁路交通事故已成为一种现代社会疾病,并具有特定的流行病学特征。流行曲线的高峰呈周期性出现,且与社会动荡密切相关,事故发生频率在一年中的第一季(春运期间)和第三季(高温期)最高,因此大多数事故发生在2月和8月。大多数事故发生在周五,周一最少。事故分布在圆形图中呈现明显的“天线”现象,具有24小时周期。分析影响交通安全的多种因素,结果表明,火车司机的年龄上限不应超过50岁;人物事故率与年龄之间的“浴缸”现象必须引起重视。招聘火车司机时应更加关注心理方面。在我国,迫切需要建立选拔火车机车司机的心理运动功能标准。疲劳是导致事故发生的直接原因之一。生物节律与事故发生之间未发现统计相关性。

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