冠状动脉旁路移植手术后谵妄与晚期死亡率。
Delirium after coronary artery bypass graft surgery and late mortality.
机构信息
Department of Neurology, Johns Hopkins University, 600 N. Wolfe Street, Baltimore, MD 21287, USA.
出版信息
Ann Neurol. 2010 Mar;67(3):338-44. doi: 10.1002/ana.21899.
OBJECTIVE
Delirium is common after cardiac surgery, although under-recognized, and its long-term consequences are likely underestimated. The primary goal of this study was to determine whether patients with delirium after coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery have higher long-term out-of-hospital mortality when compared with CABG patients without delirium.
METHODS
We studied 5,034 consecutive patients undergoing CABG surgery at a single institution from 1997 to 2007. Presence or absence of neurologic complications, including delirium, was assessed prospectively. Survival analysis was performed to determine the role of delirium in the hazard of death, including a propensity score to adjust for potential confounders. These analyses were repeated to determine the association between postoperative stroke and long-term mortality.
RESULTS
Individuals with delirium had an increased hazard of death (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.38-1.97) up to 10 years postoperatively, after adjustment for perioperative and vascular risk factors. Patients with postoperative stroke had a HR of 2.34 (95% CI, 1.87-2.92). The effect of delirium on subsequent mortality was the strongest among those without a prior stroke (HR 1.83 vs HR 1.11 [with a prior stroke] [p-interaction = 0.02]) or who were younger (HR 2.42 [<65 years old] vs HR 1.49 [>/=65 years old] [p-interaction = 0.04]).
INTERPRETATION
Delirium after cardiac surgery is a strong independent predictor of mortality up to 10 years postoperatively, especially in younger individuals and in those without prior stroke. Future studies are needed to determine the impact of delirium prevention and/or treatment in long-term patient mortality.
目的
心脏手术后发生谵妄很常见,但往往未被识别,其长期后果可能被低估。本研究的主要目的是确定与无谵妄的冠状动脉旁路移植术(CABG)患者相比,CABG 术后发生谵妄的患者是否具有更高的长期院外死亡率。
方法
我们研究了 1997 年至 2007 年期间在一家医疗机构接受 CABG 手术的 5034 例连续患者。前瞻性评估神经系统并发症(包括谵妄)的存在或不存在。进行生存分析以确定谵妄在死亡风险中的作用,包括倾向评分以调整潜在混杂因素。重复这些分析以确定术后中风与长期死亡率之间的关联。
结果
谵妄患者在手术后 10 年内死亡的风险增加(校正后的危险比[HR],1.65;95%置信区间[CI],1.38-1.97),校正围手术期和血管危险因素后。术后发生中风的患者 HR 为 2.34(95%CI,1.87-2.92)。在无既往中风(HR 1.83 与 HR 1.11[有既往中风],p 交互作用=0.02)或年龄较小的患者中(HR 2.42[<65 岁]与 HR 1.49[>/=65 岁],p 交互作用=0.04),谵妄对随后死亡率的影响最强。
解释
心脏手术后的谵妄是术后 10 年内死亡的强有力独立预测因素,尤其是在年龄较小和无既往中风的患者中。需要进一步研究来确定谵妄预防和/或治疗对长期患者死亡率的影响。