Biostatistics, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran.
Arch Oral Biol. 2010 May;55(5):374-8. doi: 10.1016/j.archoralbio.2010.03.008. Epub 2010 Apr 9.
The main objective of this study was modelling experienced caries of deciduous teeth in 3- 5-years-old children treated in Children's Department of Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Iran, using the spatial autologistic regression. The other objective was identifying a risk pattern of decayed dents of these children.
The study group consisted of 400 children (3- 5-years-old). Two groups of postgraduate and under graduate dentistry students under consideration and approval of the professors of dentistry from the Tehran University of Medical Sciences diagnosed and categorised the caries statuses of deciduous dents of the children. The caries statuses were considered as spatially correlated binary data. The appropriate model was autologistic regression.
The fitted autologistic model showed that caries in the three nearest neighbours of a tooth, which includes the two adjacent and the one vertically opponent teeth, had significant effect on its caries. The computed risks based on the fitted model revealed a definite-spatial pattern of caries events.
Every decayed deciduous tooth in the mouth of a preschool child threatens the three nearest teeth. The risk pattern of caries in each quarter of the teeth lattice of children from incisors to molars has an ascending rate. The dents in maxilla and posterior locations have higher risks of caries than in mandible and anterior locations. These findings are valuable in preventive health care and therapeutic approaches in dentistry of children.
本研究的主要目的是使用空间自回归模型对伊朗德黑兰医科大学儿科学系治疗的 3-5 岁儿童的乳牙经历性龋进行建模,同时确定这些儿童患龋齿的风险模式。
研究组包括 400 名儿童(3-5 岁)。在德黑兰医科大学牙科学教授的考虑和批准下,两组研究生和本科生牙医对儿童乳牙的龋病状况进行了诊断和分类。将龋病状况视为空间相关的二元数据。适当的模型是自回归模型。
拟合的自回归模型表明,牙齿的三个最近邻(包括两个相邻的和一个垂直相对的牙齿)的龋齿对其龋齿有显著影响。根据拟合模型计算出的风险揭示了龋齿事件的明确空间模式。
学龄前儿童口腔中的每一颗龋齿都会威胁到三颗最接近的牙齿。从切牙到磨牙,儿童牙齿网格的每个象限的龋齿风险呈上升趋势。上颌和后牙位置的龋齿风险高于下颌和前牙位置。这些发现对儿童口腔预防保健和治疗方法具有重要价值。