Maxwell H. Gluck Equine Research Center, Department of Veterinary Sciences, University of Kentucky, Lexington, Kentucky 40506, USA.
Equine Vet J. 2009 Dec;41(9):889-94. doi: 10.2746/042516409x456059.
There have been no studies reporting the impact of reproductive efficiency and mare financial value on economic returns.
To explore the economic consequences of differences in reproductive efficiency over time in the Thoroughbred mare.
Complete production records for 1176 mares were obtained. Production history and drift in foaling date were calculated. Multiple logistic regression was used to identify factors influencing the probability of producing a registered foal in 2005. The 'net present value' and 'internal rate of return' were calculated for economic scenarios involving different initial mare financial values, levels of reproductive efficiency, and durations of investment.
Among mares that did not produce a foal every year (63%), the mean time before failing to produce a registered foal was 3.4 years. The majority of mares drifted later in their foaling dates in subsequent foaling seasons. Increasing mare age, foaling after 1st April, needing to be mated multiple times during the season, and producing a lower number of foals in continuous sequence during previous years decreased the probability of producing a registered foal. Over a 7 year investment period, live foals must be produced in all but one year to yield a positive financial return. Profitability was highest among mares of greatest financial value.
Mares are long-term investments due to the extended period before there is a return on the investment. Improving our understanding of mare, stallion and management factors that affect the likelihood of producing a live foal are critical to ensuring a positive financial return. Additional work is needed to test the robustness of the study's conclusions when the cost and revenue assumptions are varied.
This information can assist in assessing mare profitability and developing management strategies to maximise profitability.
目前尚无研究报告繁殖效率和母马经济价值对经济回报的影响。
探讨在时间上,母马繁殖效率差异对纯血马经济回报的影响。
获得了 1176 匹母马的完整生产记录。计算了生产历史和产驹日期的漂移。采用多元逻辑回归分析方法,确定了 2005 年影响母马产注册驹概率的因素。针对不同的母马初始财务价值、繁殖效率水平和投资持续时间,计算了经济情景下的“净现值”和“内部收益率”。
在每年未产驹的母马(63%)中,首次未产注册驹的平均时间为 3.4 年。大多数母马在后续产驹季节中,产驹日期会延迟。母马年龄增大、4 月 1 日后产驹、在产驹季节中需要多次配种、以及前几年连续产驹数减少,都会降低产注册驹的概率。在 7 年的投资期内,除了一年外,必须在所有年份中产驹才能获得正的财务回报。最具经济价值的母马盈利能力最高。
由于投资回报前的时间延长,母马是长期投资。提高我们对影响产驹能力的母马、种马和管理因素的理解,对于确保获得正的财务回报至关重要。需要进一步研究,以检验在改变成本和收益假设时,该研究结论的稳健性。
这些信息可以帮助评估母马的盈利能力,并制定管理策略以实现最大的盈利能力。