Employee Benefit Research Institute, Washington, DC 20005, USA.
J Aging Soc Policy. 2010 Apr;22(2):129-51. doi: 10.1080/08959421003620871.
This paper uses administrative data from millions of 401(k) participants dating back to 1996 as well as several simulation models to determine 401(k) plans' susceptibility to several alleged limitations as well as its potential for significant retirement wealth accumulation for employees working for employers who have chosen to sponsor these plans. What will happen to 401(k) participants after the 2008 market decline will be largely determined by the extent to which the features of automatic enrollment, automatic escalation of contributions, and automatic investment are allowed to play out. Simulation results suggest that the first two features will significantly improve retirement wealth for the lowest-income quartiles going forward, and the third feature (primarily target-date funds) suggest that a large percentage of those on the verge of retirement would benefit significantly by a reduction of equity concentrations to a more age-appropriate level.
本文利用了自 1996 年以来数百万 401(k) 参与者的行政数据,以及几个模拟模型,来确定 401(k) 计划在多大程度上容易受到一些所谓的限制,以及它在多大程度上有潜力为选择赞助这些计划的雇主的员工积累大量退休财富。在 2008 年市场下滑之后,401(k) 参与者的情况将在很大程度上取决于自动注册、自动增加缴款和自动投资等功能的发挥程度。模拟结果表明,前两个功能将显著提高最低收入四分之一人群的退休财富,而第三个功能(主要是目标日期基金)表明,很大比例即将退休的人将通过降低股权集中程度至更适合年龄的水平而显著受益。