Public Health & Planning, Policy and Design, University of California at Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA.
BMC Public Health. 2010 May 25;10:273. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-10-273.
The secondary sex ratio (i.e., the odds of a male birth) reportedly declines following natural disasters, pollution events, and economic collapse. It remains unclear whether this decline results from an excess of male fetal loss or reduced male conceptions. The literature also does not converge as to whether the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001 induced "communal bereavement", or the widespread feeling of distress among persons who never met those directly involved in the attacks. We test the communal bereavement hypothesis among gravid women by examining whether male fetal deaths rose above expected levels in the US following September 11, 2001.
We apply interrupted time-series methods to all fetal deaths at or greater than the 20th week of gestation in the US from 1996 to 2002. Time-series methods control for trends, seasonality, and other forms of autocorrelation that could induce spurious associations.
Results support the hypothesis in that the fetal death sex ratio (i.e., the odds of a male fetal death) increased above its expected value in September 2001. Additional analysis of the secondary sex ratio indirectly supports that the terrorist attacks may have threatened the gestation of male more than female fetuses.
Societal responses to events such as September 11, 2001 do not appear confined only to persons who have ever met the deceased. The fetal death sex ratio in the US population may serve as a sentinel indicator of the degree to which pregnant women react to population stressors.
据报道,自然灾害、污染事件和经济崩溃后,次级性别比(即男性出生的几率)下降。目前尚不清楚这种下降是由于男性胎儿流产过多还是男性受孕减少所致。文献也没有达成共识,即 2001 年 9 月 11 日的恐怖袭击是否引发了“集体丧亲”,或者是从未见过直接参与袭击的人的广泛痛苦感。我们通过检查 2001 年 9 月 11 日之后美国是否有男性胎儿死亡超过预期水平,来检验孕妇中的集体丧亲假说。
我们应用中断时间序列方法,分析了美国 1996 年至 2002 年所有 20 周以上的胎儿死亡。时间序列方法控制了趋势、季节性和其他形式的自相关,这些可能会导致虚假关联。
结果支持这一假说,即 2001 年 9 月,胎儿死亡性别比(即男性胎儿死亡的几率)高于预期值。对次级性别比的进一步分析间接支持,恐怖袭击可能威胁到男性胎儿的孕育,甚于女性胎儿。
对 2001 年 9 月 11 日等事件的社会反应似乎不仅限于曾见过死者的人。美国人口的胎儿死亡性别比可能成为孕妇对人口压力反应程度的一个哨兵指标。