Institute of Applied Economics, National Taiwan Ocean University, 2 Pei-Ning Road, Keelung 20224, Taiwan, ROC.
Bioresour Technol. 2011 Jan;102(1):43-9. doi: 10.1016/j.biortech.2010.06.034. Epub 2010 Jul 8.
This investigation examines the possible results of policy support in developed and developing economies for developing algal biodiesel through to 2040. This investigation adopts the Taiwan General Equilibrium Model-Energy for Bio-fuels (TAIGEM-EB) to predict competition among the development of algal biodiesel, bioethanol and conventional crop-based biodiesel. Analytical results show that algal biodiesel will not be the major energy source in 2040 without strong support in developed economies. In contrast, bioethanol enjoys a development advantage relative to both forms of biodiesel. Finally, algal biodiesel will almost completely replace conventional biodiesel. CO(2) reduction benefits the development of the bio-fuels industry.
本研究考察了 2040 年前发达经济体和发展中经济体为发展藻类生物柴油提供政策支持的可能结果。本研究采用了台湾一般均衡模型-生物燃料能源（TAIGEM-EB）来预测藻类生物柴油、生物乙醇和传统基于农作物的生物柴油的发展之间的竞争。分析结果表明，如果没有发达经济体的大力支持，藻类生物柴油在 2040 年前不会成为主要能源。相比之下，生物乙醇相对于两种生物柴油都具有发展优势。最后，藻类生物柴油将几乎完全取代传统生物柴油。二氧化碳减排有利于生物燃料产业的发展。
