Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA.
Health Phys. 2010 Aug;99(2):124-42. doi: 10.1097/HP.0b013e3181bbbfbd.
Deposition densities (Bq m(-2)) of all important dose-contributing radionuclides occurring in nuclear weapons testing fallout from tests conducted at Bikini and Enewetak Atolls (1946-1958) have been estimated on a test-specific basis for 32 atolls and separate reef islands of the Marshall Islands. A complete review of various historical and contemporary data, as well as meteorological analysis, was used to make judgments regarding which tests deposited fallout in the Marshall Islands and to estimate fallout deposition density. Our analysis suggested that only 20 of the 66 nuclear tests conducted in or near the Marshall Islands resulted in substantial fallout deposition on any of the 23 inhabited atolls. This analysis was confirmed by the fact that the sum of our estimates of 137Cs deposition from these 20 tests at each atoll is in good agreement with the total 137Cs deposited as estimated from contemporary soil sample analyses. The monitoring data and meteorological analyses were used to quantitatively estimate the deposition density of 63 activation and fission products for each nuclear test, plus the cumulative deposition of 239+240Pu at each atoll. Estimates of the degree of fractionation of fallout from each test at each atoll, as well as of the fallout transit times from the test sites to the atolls were used in this analysis. The estimates of radionuclide deposition density, fractionation, and transit times reported here are the most complete available anywhere and are suitable for estimations of both external and internal dose to representative persons as described in companion papers.
已针对马绍尔群岛 32 个环礁和独立珊瑚礁岛,按核试验具体情况,估算了在比基尼和埃尼威托克环礁(1946-1958 年)进行的核武器试验沉降物中所有重要放射性核素的沉积密度(Bq m(-2))。对各种历史和当代数据以及气象分析进行了全面审查,以便就哪些试验在马绍尔群岛沉降了沉降物以及估算沉降物沉积密度做出判断。我们的分析表明,在马绍尔群岛进行或附近进行的 66 次核试验中,只有 20 次对 23 个人口环礁中的任何一个环礁造成了大量沉降物沉积。这一分析得到了以下事实的证实:我们对这 20 次试验中每个环礁的 137Cs 沉积量的估计之和与从当代土壤样本分析中估计的总 137Cs 沉积量非常吻合。监测数据和气象分析被用于定量估算每个核试验的 63 种激活和裂变产物以及每个环礁上 239+240Pu 的累积沉积量的沉积密度。在这项分析中,还使用了每个环礁上每次核试验沉降物的分馏程度以及从试验地点到环礁的沉降物传输时间的估计值。这里报告的放射性核素沉积密度、分馏和传输时间的估计值是迄今为止最完整的,可用于根据伴随论文中描述的代表性人员的外部和内部剂量估算。