Robison William L, Conrado Cynthia L, Bogen Kenneth T, Stoker A Carol
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, 7000 East Avenue, L-286, Livermore, CA 94550-9234, USA.
J Environ Radioact. 2003;69(3):207-23. doi: 10.1016/S0265-931X(03)00080-8.
The United States (US) conducted nuclear weapons testing from 1946 to 1958 at Bikini and Enewetak Atolls in the northern Marshall Islands. Based on previous detailed dose assessments for Bikini, Enewetak, Rongelap, and Utirik Atolls over a period of 28 years, cesium-137 (137Cs) at Bikini Atoll contributes about 85-89% of the total estimated dose through the terrestrial food chain as a result of uptake of 137Cs by food crops. The estimated integral 30, 50, and 70-year doses were based on the radiological decay of 137Cs (30-year half-life) and other radionuclides. However, there is a continuing inventory of 137Cs and 90Sr in the fresh water portion of the groundwater at all contaminated atolls even though the turnover rate of the fresh groundwater is about 5 years. This is evidence that a portion of the soluble fraction of 137Cs and 90Sr inventory in the soil is lost by transport to groundwater when rainfall is heavy enough to cause recharge of the lens, resulting in loss of 137Cs from the soil column and root zone of the plants. This loss is in addition to that caused by radioactive decay. The effective rate of loss was determined by two methods: (1) indirectly, from time-dependent studies of the 137Cs concentration in leaves of Pisonia grandis, Guettarda specosia, Tournefortia argentea (also called Messerschmidia), Scaevola taccada, and fruit from Pandanus and coconut trees (Cocos nucifera L.), and (2) more directly, by evaluating the 137Cs/90Sr ratios at Bikini Atoll. The mean (and its lower and upper 95% confidence limits) for effective half-life and for environmental-loss half-life (ELH) based on all the trees studied on Rongelap, Bikini, and Enewetak Atolls are 8.5 years (8.0 years, 9.8 years), and 12 years (11 years, 15 years), respectively. The ELH based on the 137Cs/90Sr ratios in soil in 1987 relative to the 137Cs/90Sr ratios at the time of deposition in 1954 is less than 17 years. The magnitude of the decrease below 17 years depends on the ELH for 90Sr that is currently unknown, but some loss of 90Sr does occur along with 137Cs. If the 15-year upper 95% confidence limit on ELH (corresponding to an effective half-life of 9.8 years) is incorporated into dose calculations projected over periods of 30, 50, or 70 years, then corresponding integral doses are 58, 46 and 41%, respectively, of those previously calculated based solely on radiological decay of 137Cs.
1946年至1958年期间,美国在马绍尔群岛北部的比基尼环礁和埃尼威托克环礁进行了核武器试验。根据此前对比基尼、埃尼威托克、朗格拉普和乌蒂里克环礁长达28年的详细剂量评估,由于粮食作物吸收铯-137(¹³⁷Cs),比基尼环礁的¹³⁷Cs通过陆地食物链贡献了约85 - 89%的总估计剂量。估计的30年、50年和70年累积剂量是基于¹³⁷Cs(半衰期为30年)和其他放射性核素的放射性衰变。然而,尽管淡水层的新鲜地下水周转时间约为5年,但在所有受污染环礁的地下水中的淡水部分,¹³⁷Cs和⁹⁰Sr仍在持续积累。这证明,当降雨量足够大导致淡水层补给时,土壤中¹³⁷Cs和⁹⁰Sr库存的一部分可溶部分会通过传输进入地下水而流失,导致¹³⁷Cs从土壤柱和植物根区流失。这种流失是除放射性衰变之外的。流失的有效速率通过两种方法确定:(1)间接方法,通过对大托叶滨藜、海滨厚壳树、银毛树(也称为梅氏藤)、草海桐以及露兜树和椰子树(椰子)果实叶片中¹³⁷Cs浓度的时间依赖性研究;(2)更直接的方法,通过评估比基尼环礁的¹³⁷Cs/⁹⁰Sr比值。基于对朗格拉普、比基尼和埃尼威托克环礁上所有树木的研究,有效半衰期和环境损失半衰期(ELH)的平均值(及其较低和较高的95%置信限)分别为8.5年(8.0年,9.8年)和12年(11年,15年)。基于1987年土壤中¹³⁷Cs/⁹⁰Sr比值相对于1954年沉积时的¹³⁷Cs/⁹⁰Sr比值计算的ELH小于17年。低于十七年的下降幅度取决于目前未知的⁹⁰Sr的ELH,但确实会与¹³⁷Cs一起发生一些⁹⁰Sr的损失。如果将ELH 的15年较高95%置信限(对应于9.8年的有效半衰期)纳入30年、50年或70年期间的剂量计算中,那么相应的累积剂量分别是之前仅基于¹³⁷Cs放射性衰变计算剂量的58%、46%和41%。