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[预测模型在估算工作环境中化学物质浓度方面的应用]

[Application of predictive model to estimate concentrations of chemical substances in the work environment].

作者信息

Kupczewska-Dobecka Małgorzata, Czerczak Sławomir, Jakubowski Marek, Maciaszek Piotr, Janasik Beata

机构信息

Zakład Informacji Naukowej, Instytut Medycyny Pracy im. prof. J. Nofera, Łódź.

出版信息

Med Pr. 2010;61(3):307-14.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Based on the Estimation and Assessment of Substance Exposure (EASE) predictive model implemented into the European Union System for the Evaluation of Substances (EUSES 2.1.), the exposure to three chosen organic solvents: toluene, ethyl acetate and acetone was estimated and compared with the results of measurements in workplaces.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Prior to validation, the EASE model was pretested using three exposure scenarios. The scenarios differed in the decision tree of pattern of use. Five substances were chosen for the test: 1,4-dioxane tert-methyl-butyl ether, diethylamine, 1,1,1-trichloroethane and bisphenol A. After testing the EASE model, the next step was the validation by estimating the exposure level and comparing it with the results of measurements in the workplace. We used the results of measurements of toluene, ethyl acetate and acetone concentrations in the work environment of a paint and lacquer factory, a shoe factory and a refinery. Three types of exposure scenarios, adaptable to the description of working conditions were chosen to estimate inhalation exposure.

RESULTS

Comparison of calculated exposure to toluene, ethyl acetate and acetone with measurements in workplaces showed that model predictions are comparable with the measurement results. Only for low concentration ranges, the measured concentrations were higher than those predicted.

CONCLUSIONS

EASE is a clear, consistent system, which can be successfully used as an additional component of inhalation exposure estimation. If the measurement data are available, they should be preferred to values estimated from models. In addition to inhalation exposure estimation, the EASE model makes it possible not only to assess exposure-related risk but also to predict workers' dermal exposure.

摘要

背景

基于欧盟物质评估系统(EUSES 2.1)中实施的物质暴露估计与评估(EASE)预测模型,对三种选定的有机溶剂:甲苯、乙酸乙酯和丙酮的暴露情况进行了估计,并与工作场所的测量结果进行了比较。

材料与方法

在验证之前,使用三种暴露场景对EASE模型进行了预测试。这些场景在使用模式的决策树方面有所不同。选择了五种物质进行测试:1,4 - 二氧六环、叔丁基甲基醚、二乙胺、1,1,1 - 三氯乙烷和双酚A。在测试EASE模型之后,下一步是通过估计暴露水平并将其与工作场所的测量结果进行比较来进行验证。我们使用了一家油漆厂、一家鞋厂和一家炼油厂工作环境中甲苯、乙酸乙酯和丙酮浓度的测量结果。选择了三种适用于工作条件描述的暴露场景来估计吸入暴露。

结果

将计算得出的甲苯、乙酸乙酯和丙酮暴露量与工作场所的测量结果进行比较,结果表明模型预测与测量结果具有可比性。仅在低浓度范围内,测量浓度高于预测浓度。

结论

EASE是一个清晰、一致的系统,可成功用作吸入暴露估计的附加组件。如果有测量数据,应优先使用测量数据而非模型估计值。除了吸入暴露估计外,EASE模型不仅可以评估与暴露相关的风险,还可以预测工人的皮肤暴露。

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