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[与固体废物焚烧相关的健康风险的空间分析:初步分析]

[Spatial analysis of the health risks associated with solid waste incineration: a preliminary analysis].

作者信息

Gouveia Nelson, Prado Rogério Ruscitto do

机构信息

Departamento de Medicina Preventiva, Universidade de São Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil.

出版信息

Rev Bras Epidemiol. 2010 Mar;13(1):3-10. doi: 10.1590/s1415-790x2010000100001.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

to examine if emissions from the Vergueiro solid waste incinerator are associated with an increased risk of cancer in the population in its vicinity.

METHODS

the area under influence of this incinerator was delimited by a 7 km radius from its geocoded centroid. Deaths of city residents in administrative districts inside this area due to cancer of lung, liver, larynx, non-Hodgkin's lymphoma in adults, leukemia, and all sites combined in children, in the 1998 to 2002 period, were selected and geocoded. The studied area was divided into 7 concentric rings delimited by a radius of 1 to 7 km from the incinerator. The analysis of the relationship between residential proximity to the incinerator and mortality due to cancer was based on the comparison of observed and expected cases, using the Stone test for decline in risk with distance from the incinerator.

RESULTS

the area studied comprised 1,599,532 inhabitants, of which 92,894 were children less than 5 years old and 634,993 were adults over 40 years old. No spatial gradient in risk was observed for any outcome in relation to distance from the incinerator.

CONCLUSION

although no excess risk for the selected cancers were observed, emissions of incinerators still operating and their possible health effects should be monitored. The study of the spatial distribution of health events in areas around point sources of air pollution can become a methodological option for surveillance activities.

摘要

目的

研究韦尔盖罗固体废物焚烧炉的排放物是否与附近居民患癌风险增加有关。

方法

以该焚烧炉地理编码中心为圆心,7公里为半径划定其影响区域。选取1998年至2002年期间该区域内行政区城市居民因肺癌、肝癌、喉癌、成人非霍奇金淋巴瘤、白血病以及儿童所有部位癌症合并症导致的死亡病例,并进行地理编码。研究区域被划分为7个以焚烧炉为中心、半径从1公里到7公里的同心圆。通过比较观察到的病例数和预期病例数,采用斯通检验分析居住距离焚烧炉与癌症死亡率之间的关系,以检验风险是否随与焚烧炉距离的增加而降低。

结果

研究区域包括1,599,532名居民,其中5岁以下儿童92,894名,40岁以上成年人634,993名。未观察到任何结果在与焚烧炉距离方面存在风险空间梯度。

结论

尽管未观察到所选癌症存在额外风险,但仍应对仍在运行的焚烧炉排放物及其可能的健康影响进行监测。研究空气污染点源周围地区健康事件的空间分布可成为监测活动的一种方法选择。

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