Department of Medicine IA, Egas Moniz Hospital, Rua da Junqueira, 1340-019 Lisbon, Portugal.
Arch Gerontol Geriatr. 2011 Sep-Oct;53(2):e81-7. doi: 10.1016/j.archger.2010.06.019. Epub 2010 Aug 4.
Our purpose was to evaluate the outcome of patients aged 70 years or older with a first-ever acute ischemic stroke and to identify the factors which determine poor outcome. Data from 115 patients, non-disabled prior to stroke, consecutively admitted to a medical department of a teaching hospital over a 30-month period, were prospectively collected at stroke onset and 6-month follow-up. Clinical and brain imaging findings and functional status were recorded. Predictors of unfavorable outcome at 6 months, defined as a modified Rankin Scale score >2, were analyzed by multiple logistic regression. The mean age of this cohort was 78.6 years (SD, 5.7) and 66.1% were women, 73.9% had hypertension, 25.2% diabetes, 36.0% atrial fibrillation (AF), 33.9% heart failure (HF), 15.8% previous transient ischemic attack (TIA), 47.8% a Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) score >1 and 52.2% a baseline National Institute of Health stroke scale (NIHSS) score ≥ 6. At 6 months, 54 patients (47%) had unfavorable outcome and the independent predictors of poor outcome were the initial systolic blood pressure and the NIHSS score on admission. In conclusion, near 50% of these old patients were dependent or dead 6 months after stroke onset and the main predictor of poor outcome was the neurological severity of stroke.
我们的目的是评估首次发生急性缺血性脑卒中且年龄在 70 岁或以上的患者的预后,并确定决定预后不良的因素。在 30 个月的时间内,连续纳入一家教学医院内科的 115 名非脑卒中前无残疾的患者,在发病时和 6 个月随访时前瞻性收集数据。记录临床和脑影像学表现以及功能状态。采用多元逻辑回归分析 6 个月时不良预后(定义为改良 Rankin 量表评分>2)的预测因素。该队列的平均年龄为 78.6 岁(标准差,5.7),66.1%为女性,73.9%有高血压,25.2%有糖尿病,36.0%有房颤(AF),33.9%有心衰(HF),15.8%有既往短暂性脑缺血发作(TIA),47.8%Charlson 合并症指数(CCI)评分>1,52.2%基线 NIHSS 评分≥6。6 个月时,54 名患者(47%)预后不良,独立预测不良预后的因素是入院时的初始收缩压和 NIHSS 评分。总之,这些老年患者中近 50%在脑卒中发病后 6 个月时依赖或死亡,不良预后的主要预测因素是脑卒中的神经严重程度。