Department of Cardiology, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Am Heart J. 2010 Aug;160(2):308-14. doi: 10.1016/j.ahj.2010.05.007.
BACKGROUND: Contemporary heart failure (HF) patients are elderly and have a high rate of early rehospitalization or death, resulting in a high burden for both the patients and the health care system. Prior studies were focused on younger and less well-characterized patients. We aimed to identify predictors of early hospital readmission and death in elderly patients with HF. METHODS: Patients with chronic HF taking part in the TIME-CHF study (n = 614, age 77 +/- 8 years, 41% female, left ventricular ejection fraction 35% +/- 13%) were evaluated with respect to predictors of hospital readmission or death 30 and 90 days after inclusion. Demographic, clinical, laboratory, echocardiographic, and social variables were obtained at baseline and included in a multivariable logistic regression analysis to identify predictors of early events. RESULTS: The rate of hospital readmission or death was high at 30 (11%) and 90 days (26%). The reason for hospitalization was HF in 33%, other cardiovascular in 32%, and noncardiovascular in 45% of the cases, respectively. Predictors of readmission or death at 30 days were angina, lower systolic blood pressure, anemia, more extensive edema, higher creatinine levels, and dry cough; and at 90 days were coronary artery disease, prior pacemaker implantation, high jugular venous pressure, pulmonary rales, prior abdominal surgery, older age, and depressive symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: Early hospital readmission or death was frequent among elderly HF patients. A very large proportion of readmissions were due to noncardiovascular causes. In addition to clinical signs of HF, comorbidities are important predictors of early events in elderly HF patients.
背景:当代心力衰竭(HF)患者年龄较大,早期再入院或死亡的比例较高,给患者和医疗保健系统带来了沉重负担。先前的研究主要集中在年龄较小且特征不太明确的患者身上。我们旨在确定老年 HF 患者早期住院再入院和死亡的预测因素。
方法:参加 TIME-CHF 研究的慢性 HF 患者(n=614,年龄 77 +/- 8 岁,41%为女性,左心室射血分数 35% +/- 13%),在纳入后 30 天和 90 天,评估了其住院再入院或死亡的预测因素。在基线时获得了人口统计学、临床、实验室、超声心动图和社会变量,并将其纳入多变量逻辑回归分析,以确定早期事件的预测因素。
结果:30 天(11%)和 90 天(26%)的住院再入院或死亡发生率较高。住院的原因分别为心力衰竭 33%、其他心血管疾病 32%和非心血管疾病 45%。30 天住院再入院或死亡的预测因素为心绞痛、较低的收缩压、贫血、更广泛的水肿、更高的肌酐水平和干咳;90 天的预测因素为冠状动脉疾病、先前的起搏器植入、颈静脉压升高、肺部啰音、先前的腹部手术、年龄较大和抑郁症状。
结论:老年 HF 患者早期住院再入院或死亡的情况较为频繁。很大一部分再入院是由于非心血管原因。除了心力衰竭的临床迹象外,合并症也是老年心力衰竭患者早期事件的重要预测因素。
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