Luleå University of Technology, Sweden.
Ambio. 2010 May;39(3):211-22. doi: 10.1007/s13280-010-0029-0.
Climate policy has assumed an extreme degree of urgency in the international debate in recent years. This article begins by taking a critical look at the scientific underpinnings of the efforts to stabilize the climate. It points to several serious question marks on the purported relationship between greenhouse gas emissions and global warming, and expresses distrust about claims of impending catastrophes related to rising sea levels, hurricanes, and spread of infectious disease. It then reviews the concurrent climate policy efforts and concludes that they are incoherent, misguided and unduly costly, and that they have so far had no perceptible impact on anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. The exceedingly ambitious policy plans currently under preparation suffer from similar fallacies. For these reasons, but also because of the remaining scientific doubts and the exorbitant costs that have to be incurred, skepticism is expressed about the preparedness to implement the climate policy plans currently on the table.
近年来，气候政策在国际辩论中已经变得极为紧迫。本文首先批判性地审视了为稳定气候所做的努力的科学依据。文中指出了温室气体排放与全球变暖之间所谓关系的几个严重问题，并对与海平面上升、飓风和传染病传播有关的即将发生灾难的说法表示怀疑。然后，文章回顾了同时进行的气候政策努力，并得出结论认为，这些努力不协调、指导不当且代价过高，而且迄今为止，对人为温室气体排放没有明显的影响。目前正在筹备的极为雄心勃勃的政策计划也存在类似的错误。出于这些原因，还因为仍存在科学上的疑虑以及必须承担的高昂成本，人们对目前摆在桌面上的气候政策计划的实施准备情况表示怀疑。
