Pierce J P, Naquin M, Gilpin E, Giovino G, Mills S, Marcus S
Population Studies in Cancer Prevention, University of California, San Diego School of Medicine Cancer Center, La Jolla 92093-0901.
J Natl Cancer Inst. 1991 Jul 17;83(14):1009-13. doi: 10.1093/jnci/83.14.1009.
Data from four National Health Interview Surveys were combined, and a birth-cohort analysis was undertaken to determine the age when regular smoking is initiated. By the age of 25 years, most smokers have already become regular smokers. Among men, the proportion of each birth cohort who become regular smokers has declined at a rate of about 1.0% for each year of birth since 1945. There has been no identifiable decline in successive birth cohorts of women. For those born in the most recent birth cohorts, there was no sex difference in the proportion who became regular smokers. The proportion of smokers beginning to smoke during the secondary-school years (less than or equal to 18 years of age) has increased steadily, especially among people with a high-school education or less. However, in the latest birth cohort (1960-1962), over 18% of ever smokers with at least a high-school education did not start to smoke regularly until their young-adult years (19-24 years of age). If the effect of tobacco-education programs in the schools is to postpone the uptake of regular smoking, it is important to have tobacco policies in place in other areas of society that will maintain non-smoking behavior through the young-adult years. Accordingly, the banning of smoking in colleges, universities, and worksites, as well as in secondary schools, may significantly decrease the proportion of young people who eventually become regular smokers.
将四项全国健康访谈调查的数据合并,并进行出生队列分析以确定开始经常吸烟的年龄。到25岁时,大多数吸烟者已经成为经常吸烟者。在男性中,自1945年以来,每个出生队列中成为经常吸烟者的比例每年以约1.0%的速度下降。在连续出生队列的女性中没有明显下降。对于最近出生队列中的人来说,成为经常吸烟者的比例没有性别差异。在中学阶段(小于或等于18岁)开始吸烟的吸烟者比例稳步上升,尤其是在高中及以下学历的人群中。然而,在最新的出生队列(1960 - 1962年)中,超过18%至少拥有高中学历的曾经吸烟者直到青年时期(19 - 24岁)才开始经常吸烟。如果学校的烟草教育计划的效果是推迟开始经常吸烟的时间,那么在社会其他领域制定烟草政策很重要,这些政策将在青年时期维持不吸烟行为。因此,在大学、工作场所以及中学禁止吸烟,可能会显著降低最终成为经常吸烟者的年轻人比例。