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长期暴露于类似GSM信号(手机)对雌性斯普拉格-道利大鼠存活的影响:出生月份及可能的太阳周期阶段的调节作用

Effect of chronic exposure to a GSM-like signal (mobile phone) on survival of female Sprague-Dawley rats: modulatory effects by month of birth and possibly stage of the solar cycle.

作者信息

Bartsch Hella, Küpper Heinz, Scheurlen Ulf, Deerberg Fritz, Seebald Eckard, Dietz Klaus, Mecke Dieter, Probst Hansgeorg, Stehle Thilo, Bartsch Christian

机构信息

Center for Research in Medical and Natural Sciences (MNF), University of Tübingen, D-72074 Tübingen, Germany.

出版信息

Neuro Endocrinol Lett. 2010;31(4):457-73.

Abstract

During 1997-2008 two long-term (I and II) and two life-long (III and IV) experiments were performed analyzing the effect of chronic exposure to a low-intensity GSM-like signal (900 MHz pulsed with 217 Hz, 100 µW/cm² average power flux density, 38-80 mW/kg mean specific absorption rate for whole body) on health and survival of unrestrained female Sprague-Dawley rats kept under identical conditions. Radiofrequency (RF)-exposure was started at 52-70 days of age and continued for 24 (I), 17 (II) and up to 36 and 37 months, respectively (III/IV). In the first two experiments (1997-2000) 12 exposed and 12 sham-exposed animals each were observed until they were maximally 770 or 580 days old. In experiment I no adverse health effects of chronic RF-exposure were detectable, neither by macroscopic nor detailed microscopic pathological examinations. Also in experiment II no apparent macroscopic pathological changes due to treatment were apparent. Median survival time could not be estimated since in none of the groups more than 50% of the animals had died. In the course of two complete survival experiments (2002-2005; 2005-2008) 30 RF- and 30 sham-exposed animals each were followed up until their natural end or when they became moribund and had to be euthanized. A synoptical data analysis was performed. Survival data of all four groups could be fitted well by the Weibull distribution. According to this analysis median survival was significantly shortened under RF-exposure in both experiments by 9.06% (95% CI 2.7 to 15.0%) (p=0.0064); i.e by 72 days in experiment III and 77 days in experiment IV as compared to the corresponding sham-treated animals (III: 799 days; IV: 852 days). Both groups of animals of experiment III showed reduced median survival times by 6.25% (95% CI -0.3 to 12.4%) (p=0.0604) compared to the corresponding groups of experiment IV (53 days: sham-exposed animals, 48 days: RF-exposed animals) which may be due to the fact that animals of experiment III were born in October and animals of experiment IV in May indicating that the month of birth affects life span. From the results of the last two experiments it has to be concluded that chronic exposure to a low-intensity GSM-like signal may exert negative health effects and shorten survival if treatment is applied sufficiently long and the observational period covers the full life span of the animals concerned. The current data show that survival of rats kept under controlled laboratory conditions varies within certain limits depending on the month of birth. In view of our previous observations regarding an inhibitory or no effect of RF-exposure on DMBA-induced mammary cancer during the 1997-2000 period, an additional modulatory influence on a year-to-year basis should be considered which might be related to changing solar activity during the the 11-years' sunspot cycle. These potentially complex influences of the natural environment modulating the effects of anthropogenic RF-signals on health and survival require a systematic continuation of such experiments throughout solar cycle 24 which started in 2009.

摘要

在1997年至2008年期间,进行了两项长期实验(实验I和实验II)和两项终生实验(实验III和实验IV),分析长期暴露于低强度类全球移动通信系统信号(900兆赫兹,脉冲频率217赫兹,平均功率通量密度100微瓦/平方厘米,全身平均比吸收率38 - 80毫瓦/千克)对在相同条件下饲养的无束缚雌性斯普拉格-道利大鼠的健康和存活情况的影响。射频暴露在大鼠52 - 70日龄时开始,分别持续24个月(实验I)、17个月(实验II)以及长达36个月和37个月(实验III/IV)。在前两项实验(1997 - 2000年)中,每组观察12只暴露动物和12只假暴露动物,直至它们最大年龄达到770天或580天。在实验I中,无论是宏观还是详细的微观病理检查,均未检测到慢性射频暴露对健康有不良影响。在实验II中,也未发现因处理导致明显的宏观病理变化。由于没有一组动物的死亡数超过50%,所以无法估计中位生存时间。在两项完整的生存实验过程中(2002 - 2005年;2005 - 2008年),每组分别对30只射频暴露动物和30只假暴露动物进行随访,直至其自然死亡或濒死不得不实施安乐死。进行了综合数据分析。所有四组的生存数据都能很好地用威布尔分布拟合。根据该分析,在两项实验中,射频暴露组的中位生存时间均显著缩短,缩短了9.06%(95%置信区间2.7%至15.0%)(p = 0.0064);即与相应的假处理动物相比(实验III:799天;实验IV:852天),实验III缩短了72天,实验IV缩短了77天。与实验IV的相应组相比(实验IV:假暴露动物53天,射频暴露动物48天),实验III的两组动物中位生存时间均缩短了6.25%(95%置信区间 - 0.3%至12.4%)(p = 0.0604),这可能是由于实验III的动物出生在10月,而实验IV的动物出生在5月,表明出生月份会影响寿命。从最后两项实验的结果可以得出结论,如果处理时间足够长且观察期涵盖相关动物的整个寿命周期,长期暴露于低强度类全球移动通信系统信号可能会对健康产生负面影响并缩短生存时间。目前的数据表明,在受控实验室条件下饲养的大鼠的存活情况在一定范围内会因出生月份而有所不同。鉴于我们之前在1997 - 2000年期间关于射频暴露对二甲基苯并蒽诱导的乳腺癌有抑制作用或无影响的观察结果,应考虑每年还有额外的调节影响,这可能与11年太阳黑子周期中太阳活动的变化有关。自然环境对人为射频信号对健康和存活影响的这些潜在复杂影响,需要在始于2009年的第24个太阳周期内系统地持续进行此类实验。

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