Gross Revital, Brammli-Greenberg Shuli, Rabinowitz Jonathan, Gordon Barak, Afek Arnon
Smokler Center for Health Policy Research, Myers-JDC Brookdale Institute, Jerusalem, Israel.
Int J Pediatr Obes. 2011 Jun;6(2-2):e154-61. doi: 10.3109/17477166.2010.500389. Epub 2010 Oct 14.
To analyze the temporal trends of obesity over time among male adolescents of different ethnic origins.
Population-based national data of subjects presenting at recruitment centers for medical examinations as part of screening for military draft. Subjects were 17-year-old Jewish males (n=1 140 937) born in the years 1950-1986. Data on body mass index (BMI) were measured (without clothing and shoes) by physicians. We calculated the prevalence of obesity (BMI 29.4 or higher) for each year by ethnic origin group. A Multinomial logistic regression model was used to estimate the effects of ethnic origin and other risk factors on the likelihood of obesity.
Over time, obesity rates have risen among all ethnic groups of adolescents. Multinomial regression analysis showed a lower likelihood of obesity among those of Asia-Africa origin as compared with other groups. However, obesity rates have increased more significantly over time among this ethnic group compared with the other groups.
A significant finding of this study is the disparities in temporal trends in the likelihood of obesity over time. Among adolescents of Asia-Africa origin the likelihood of obesity increased more steeply over time compared with other groups of adolescents. Health services in Israel should thus consider Asia-African origin as a distinct risk factor and target interventions to prevent future obesity among these adolescents.
分析不同种族背景的男性青少年肥胖情况随时间的变化趋势。
以在征兵体检招募中心接受检查的人群为基础的全国性数据。研究对象为1950年至1986年出生的17岁犹太男性(n = 1140937)。体重指数(BMI)数据由医生(在不穿衣服和鞋子的情况下)测量。我们按种族背景分组计算每年肥胖(BMI为29.4或更高)的患病率。采用多项逻辑回归模型估计种族背景和其他风险因素对肥胖可能性的影响。
随着时间推移,所有青少年种族群体的肥胖率均有所上升。多项回归分析显示,与其他群体相比,亚非裔青少年肥胖的可能性较低。然而,与其他群体相比,该种族群体的肥胖率随时间的增长更为显著。
本研究的一个重要发现是肥胖可能性随时间的变化趋势存在差异。与其他青少年群体相比,亚非裔青少年肥胖的可能性随时间增长更为陡峭。因此,以色列的卫生服务机构应将亚非裔视为一个独特的风险因素,并针对这些青少年采取预防未来肥胖的干预措施。