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拉丁美洲的火山灾害和 1985 年 11 月 13 日哥伦比亚内华达德鲁兹火山的爆发。

Volcanic disasters in Latin America and the 13th November 1985 eruption of Nevado del Ruiz volcano in Colombia.

机构信息

Graduate School of Oceanography University of Rhode Island Kingston RI 02881, U.S.A.

出版信息

Disasters. 1986 Sep;10(3):205-16. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-7717.1986.tb00590.x.

Abstract

Volcanic eruptions in Latin America have claimed about 61,000 lives since 1600 A.D. and the region's volcanoes are responsible for about a quarter of the world's fatalities from this type of hazard. Nearly all loss of life from volcanism in Latin America is due to pyroclastic surges, pyroclastic flows and lahars or volcanic mudflows. Lahars generated during the 13th November, 1985 eruption of Nevado del Ruiz in Colombia claimed 25,000 lives, underscoring the great hazard from lahars, which can be generated from the fifty-six, active, ice-capped Central and South American volcanoes during even very small eruptions. The probability of specific prediction of the timing of such events is currently low, whereas the probability of a general prediction of volcanic eruption is high, giving sufficient time to install telemetered lahar alarm systems, which could largely avoid the loss of life.

摘要

自公元 1600 年以来,拉丁美洲的火山爆发已导致约 61000 人死亡,该地区的火山造成了全球四分之一此类灾害的死亡人数。拉丁美洲几乎所有因火山而造成的生命损失都是由于火山碎屑流、火山碎屑流和火山泥流造成的。1985 年 11 月 13 日哥伦比亚内华达德尔鲁伊斯火山爆发产生的火山泥流造成 25000 人死亡,这突显了火山泥流的巨大危害,即使是非常小的喷发,也可能从 56 座活跃的、有冰盖的中美洲和南美洲火山中产生。目前,对这类事件发生时间进行具体预测的可能性很低,而对火山喷发进行一般性预测的可能性很高,这就有足够的时间来安装遥测火山泥流警报系统,这可以在很大程度上避免生命损失。

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