Division of Nephrology, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
Artif Organs. 2010 Oct;34(10):828-35. doi: 10.1111/j.1525-1594.2009.00920.x.
Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) can provide short-term cardiopulmonary support to critically ill patients. Among ECMO patients, acute renal failure requiring dialysis has an ominous prognosis. However, a prognostic scoring system and risk factors adjustment for hospital mortality in these patients have not been elucidated previously. A multicenter observational cohort study was conducted from January 2002 to December 2006. Information obtained included demographics, biochemical variables, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, III, and IV scores at ICU admission and initial acute dialysis, and hospital mortality in 102 non-coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) patients receiving ECMO support with acute dialysis. This retrospective cohort study included 70 men and 32 women with a mean age of 47.9 ± 15.7 years. Seventy-two patients (70.6%) had hospital mortality. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve showed APACHE IV (0.653) had a better discriminative power to predict hospital mortality than APACHE II (0.584) and APACHE III (0.634) at initializing dialysis. Hosmer-Lemeshow statistics showed good calibration for all three scores to predict hospital mortality at initializing dialysis (APACHE IV, P = 0.392; APACHE III, P = 0.094; and APACHE II, P = 0.673). Independent predictors for hospital mortality by multivariate logistic regression analysis were higher central venous pressure (odds ratio [OR], 1.11; confidence interval [CI] 95%, 1.02-1.20; P = 0.016), higher APACHE IV score at initializing dialysis (OR, 1.03; CI 95%, 1.01-1.05; P = 0.003), and latency from hospital admission to dialysis (OR, 1.04; CI 95%, 1.00-1.08; P = 0.033). High mortality rate was noted in non-CABG patients receiving ECMO and acute dialysis. Predialysis APACHE IV scores had good calibration and moderate discrimination in predicting hospital mortality in these patients. Because ECMO support could stabilize cardiopulmonary status, APACHE IV scores would likewise underestimate disease severity at lower score ranges in these patients.
体外膜肺氧合(ECMO)可以为危重症患者提供短期心肺支持。在 ECMO 患者中,需要透析的急性肾衰竭预后不良。然而,以前尚未阐明这些患者的医院死亡率的预后评分系统和危险因素调整。一项多中心观察性队列研究于 2002 年 1 月至 2006 年 12 月进行。获得的信息包括人口统计学,生化变量,入住 ICU 时的急性生理学和慢性健康评估(APACHE)II,III 和 IV 评分以及 102 名非冠状动脉旁路移植术(CABG)患者的初始急性透析和医院死亡率。接受 ECMO 支持和急性透析的患者。这项回顾性队列研究包括 70 名男性和 32 名女性,平均年龄为 47.9 ± 15.7 岁。72 例患者(70.6%)死亡。接受透析治疗时,接受初始透析时的 APACHE IV (0.653)的ROC 曲线下面积表明,APACHE IV (0.653)的区分能力优于 APACHE II (0.584)和 APACHE III (0.634)。在启动透析时,所有三个评分的 Hosmer-Lemeshow 统计数据均显示出良好的校准度,可以预测医院死亡率(APACHE IV,P = 0.392;APACHE III,P = 0.094;APACHE II,P = 0.673)。多变量逻辑回归分析的医院死亡率的独立预测因子是更高的中心静脉压(优势比[OR],1.11;95%置信区间[CI],1.02-1.20;P = 0.016),初始透析时更高的 APACHE IV 评分(OR,1.03;CI 95%,1.01-1.05;P = 0.003)和从住院到透析的潜伏期(OR,1.04;CI 95%,1.00-1.08;P = 0.033)。在接受 ECMO 和急性透析的非 CABG 患者中,死亡率很高。在这些患者中,透析前的 APACHE IV 评分在预测医院死亡率方面具有良好的校准度和中等的区分度。由于 ECMO 支持可以稳定心肺功能,因此在这些患者中,APACHE IV 评分在较低的评分范围内也会低估疾病的严重程度。