University of Zimbabwe, College of Health Sciences, Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Harare, Zimbabwe.
BMC Public Health. 2010 Nov 3;10:668. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-10-668.
HIV incidence is a useful tool for improving the targeting of populations for interventions and assessing the effectiveness of prevention strategies. A study in Harare, Zimbabwe reported cumulative incidences of 3.4% (3.0-3.8) and 6.5% (5.7-7.4) among post-partum women followed for 12 and 24 months respectively between 1997 and 2001. According to a Government report on HIV the prevalence of HIV fell from about 30% in 1999 to 14% in 2008. The purpose of this study was to determine the incidence of HIV-1 among women enrolled during late pregnancy and followed for six years after childbirth and to identify risk factors associated with acquisition of HIV.
HIV-uninfected pregnant women around 36 weeks gestation were enrolled from primary health care clinics in peri-urban settlements around Harare and followed-up for up to six years after childbirth. At every visit a questionnaire was interview-administered to obtain socio-demographic data and sexual history since the previous visit. A genital examination was performed followed by the collection of biological samples.
Of the 552 HIV-uninfected women 444 (80.4%) were seen at least twice during the six years follow-up and 39 acquired HIV, resulting in an incidence (95% CI) of 2.3/100 woman-years-at-risk (wyar) (1.1-4.1). The incidence over the first nine months post-partum was 5.7/100 wyar (3.3-8.1). A greater proportion of teenagers (15.3%) contributed to a high incidence rate of 2.9/100 (0.6-8.7) wyar. In multivariate analysis lower education of participant, RR 2.1 (1.1-4.3) remained significantly associated with HIV acquisition. Other risk factors associated with acquisition of HIV-1 in univariate analysis were young age at sexual debut, RR 2.3, (1.0-5.6) and having children with different fathers, RR 2.7(1.3-5.8). Women that knew that their partners had other sexual partners were about four times more likely to acquire HIV, RR 3.8 (1.3-11.2).
The incidence of HIV was high during the first nine months after childbirth. Time of seroconversion, age and educational level of seroconverter are important factors that must be considered when designing HIV intervention strategies.
HIV 发病率是改善干预措施针对人群的目标和评估预防策略有效性的有用工具。1997 年至 2001 年期间,在津巴布韦哈拉雷的一项研究中,分别对产后 12 个月和 24 个月随访的妇女报告了 3.4%(3.0-3.8)和 6.5%(5.7-7.4)的累积发病率。根据政府关于 HIV 的报告,HIV 的流行率从 1999 年的约 30%下降到 2008 年的 14%。本研究旨在确定在妊娠晚期入组并在产后 6 年内随访的妇女中 HIV-1 的发病率,并确定与 HIV 获得相关的危险因素。
从哈拉雷周边城乡结合部的初级保健诊所招募 HIV 阴性孕妇,在产后最多随访 6 年。每次就诊时,通过问卷调查获取上次就诊以来的社会人口统计学数据和性史。进行生殖器检查,然后收集生物样本。
在 552 名 HIV 阴性孕妇中,444 名(80.4%)在 6 年随访期间至少随访了两次,39 名孕妇感染了 HIV,导致发病率(95%CI)为 2.3/100 名妇女-年风险(wyar)(1.1-4.1)。产后头 9 个月的发病率为 5.7/100 wyar(3.3-8.1)。青少年(15.3%)的比例较高导致发病率较高,为 2.9/100(0.6-8.7)wyar。多变量分析显示,参与者的受教育程度较低,RR 2.1(1.1-4.3)与 HIV 获得仍显著相关。单变量分析中与 HIV-1 获得相关的其他危险因素包括初次性行为年龄较小,RR 2.3(1.0-5.6)和有不同父亲的孩子,RR 2.7(1.3-5.8)。知道伴侣有其他性伴侣的妇女感染 HIV 的可能性大约增加了四倍,RR 3.8(1.3-11.2)。
产后头 9 个月 HIV 发病率较高。血清转换时间、血清转换者年龄和教育水平是设计 HIV 干预策略时必须考虑的重要因素。