Department for Applied Environmental Science, Stockholm University, Sweden.
Chemosphere. 2011 Feb;82(7):996-1001. doi: 10.1016/j.chemosphere.2010.10.069. Epub 2010 Nov 12.
Tens of thousands of chemicals are currently marketed worldwide, but only a small number of these compounds has been measured in effluents or the environment to date. The need for screening methodologies to select candidates for environmental monitoring is therefore significant. To meet this need, the Swedish Chemicals Agency developed the Exposure Index (EI), a model for ranking emissions to a number of environmental matrices based on chemical quantity used and use pattern. Here we evaluate the EI. Data on measured concentrations of organic chemicals in sewage treatment plants, one of the recipients considered in the EI model, were compiled from the literature, and the correlation between predicted emission levels and observed concentrations was assessed by linear regression analysis. The adequacy of the parameters employed in the EI was further explored by calibration of the model to measured concentrations. The EI was found to be of limited use for ranking contaminant levels in STPs; the r² values for the regressions between predicted and observed values ranged from 0.02 (p = 0.243) to 0.14 (p = 0.007) depending on the dataset. The calibrated version of the model produced only slightly better predictions although it was fitted to the experimental data. However, the model is a valuable first step in developing a high throughput screening tool for organic contaminants, and there is potential for improving the EI algorithm.
目前全球有数万种化学品在市场上销售,但迄今为止,只有少数几种化合物在废水或环境中进行了测量。因此,需要筛选方法来选择用于环境监测的候选物。为了满足这一需求,瑞典化学品管理局开发了暴露指数(EI),这是一种根据使用的化学物质数量和使用模式对多种环境基质的排放进行排名的模型。在这里,我们对 EI 进行了评估。从文献中汇编了污水处理厂(EI 模型中考虑的接收者之一)中有机化学品实测浓度的数据,并通过线性回归分析评估了预测排放量与观测浓度之间的相关性。通过将模型校准至实测浓度,进一步探讨了 EI 中使用的参数的适宜性。发现 EI 对 STP 中污染物水平的排名作用有限;取决于数据集,预测值与观测值之间的回归 r²值范围从 0.02(p = 0.243)到 0.14(p = 0.007)。尽管该模型经过了实验数据的拟合,但校准后的版本仅产生了略有改善的预测结果。然而,该模型是开发用于有机污染物高通量筛选工具的有价值的第一步,并且有可能改进 EI 算法。