University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2010 Dec;55(4):451-9. doi: 10.1097/qai.0b013e3181ec28ff.
OBJECTIVE: To determine the long-term impact of immunologic discordance (viral load <50 copies/mL and CD4+ count <=200 cells/mm3) in antiretroviral-naive patients initiating combination antiretroviral therapy (cART). METHODS: Our analysis included antiretroviral-naive individuals from a population-based Canadian Observational Cohort that initiated cART after January 1, 2000, and achieved virologic suppression. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was used to examine the association between 1-year and 2-year immunologic discordance and time to death from all-causes. Correlates of immunologic discordance were assessed with logistic regression. RESULTS: Immunologic discordance was observed in 19.9% (404 of 2028) and 10.2% (176 of 1721) of individuals at 1 and 2 years after cART initiation, respectively. Two-year immunologic discordance was associated with an increased risk of death [adjusted hazard ratio = 2.69; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.26 to 5.78]. One-year immunologic discordance was not associated with death (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.12; 95% CI: 0.54 to 2.30). Two-year immunologic discordance was associated with older age (aOR per decade = 1.23; 95% CI: 1.03 to 1.48), male gender (aOR = 1.86; 95% CI: 1.09 to 3.16), injection drug use (aOR = 2.75; 95% CI: 1.81 to 4.17), and lower baseline CD4+ count (aOR per 100 cells = 0.24; 95% CI: 0.19 to 0.31) and viral load (aOR per log10 copies/mL = 0.46; 95% CI: 0.33 to 0.65). CONCLUSIONS: Immunologic discordance after 2 years of cART in antiretroviral-naive individuals was significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality.
目的:确定免疫不和谐(病毒载量 <50 拷贝/毫升且 CD4+计数 <=200 个/毫米 3)对开始联合抗逆转录病毒治疗(cART)的抗逆转录病毒初治患者的长期影响。
方法:我们的分析包括 2000 年 1 月 1 日后开始 cART 并实现病毒学抑制的基于人群的加拿大观察性队列中的抗逆转录病毒初治个体。使用多变量 Cox 比例风险回归来检查 1 年和 2 年免疫不和谐与全因死亡时间之间的关联。使用逻辑回归评估免疫不和谐的相关性。
结果:在 cART 开始后 1 年和 2 年分别观察到 19.9%(404/2028)和 10.2%(176/1721)的个体存在免疫不和谐。2 年的免疫不和谐与死亡风险增加相关[调整后的危险比=2.69;95%置信区间(CI):1.26 至 5.78]。1 年的免疫不和谐与死亡无关(调整后的危险比=1.12;95%CI:0.54 至 2.30)。2 年的免疫不和谐与年龄较大(每十年的优势比=1.23;95%CI:1.03 至 1.48)、男性(优势比=1.86;95%CI:1.09 至 3.16)、注射吸毒(优势比=2.75;95%CI:1.81 至 4.17)和较低的基线 CD4+计数(每 100 个细胞的优势比=0.24;95%CI:0.19 至 0.31)和病毒载量(每 log10 拷贝/ml 的优势比=0.46;95%CI:0.33 至 0.65)相关。
结论:抗逆转录病毒初治患者 cART 2 年后的免疫不和谐与死亡率增加显著相关。
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