Le Gales C, Moatti J P
INSERM Unit 240 Evaluation of Risks and Effects of Prevention, Fontenay-aux-Roses, France.
Eur J Obstet Gynecol Reprod Biol. 1990 Oct;37(1):25-33. doi: 10.1016/0028-2243(90)90091-e.
In the context of an epidemiologic multicentric study about perinatal transmission of HIV, screening was systematically proposed to all pregnant women attending nine maternities clinics of the Paris region (n = 7600, between August 1987 and July 1988) at their first prenatal visit. Among them, 2145 had already been tested and 45 were known to be HIV positive. So, 5660 tests were performed during the first 6 months (period 1), and 17 pregnant women were discovered to be positive. The total cost of screening has been estimated between FF. 720,000 and 775,000, resulting in a mean cost per pregnant woman found to be HIV positive of about FF. 42,000 to 45,000. A similar calculation over the following 5 months (period 2) gave a mean cost of between FF. 165,000 and 178,000. Since the women, before being screened, had to answer a short questionnaire about risk factors; cost and effectiveness of a selective screening strategy could be simulated. The preference of systematic screening to selective screening enabled the discovery of two HIV positive cases in each period, the marginal cost, i.e., cost per extra pregnant woman found to be HIV positive was thus FF. 303,320 to 327,540 for period 1, and FF. 572,240 to 619,000 for period 2. Although these figures seem high, an estimation of the cost-effectiveness does not allow us to conclude whether it is in society's interest to devote the funds necessary to move away from selective screening towards systematic screening.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
在一项关于艾滋病毒围产期传播的多中心流行病学研究中,对巴黎地区九家产科诊所(1987年8月至1988年7月期间,n = 7600)的所有孕妇在首次产前检查时系统地提议进行筛查。其中,2145人已经接受过检测,已知45人艾滋病毒呈阳性。因此,在前6个月(第1阶段)进行了5660次检测,发现17名孕妇呈阳性。筛查的总成本估计在72万至77.5万法郎之间,导致每名艾滋病毒呈阳性的孕妇平均成本约为4.2万至4.5万法郎。在接下来的5个月(第2阶段)进行类似计算得出的平均成本在16.5万至17.8万法郎之间。由于女性在接受筛查前必须回答一份关于风险因素的简短问卷;因此可以模拟选择性筛查策略的成本和效果。与选择性筛查相比,系统性筛查在每个阶段都能发现两例艾滋病毒阳性病例,因此第1阶段每多发现一名艾滋病毒呈阳性孕妇的边际成本为30.332万至32.754万法郎,第2阶段为57.224万至61.9万法郎。尽管这些数字看起来很高,但对成本效益的估计并不能让我们得出是否值得社会投入必要资金从选择性筛查转向系统性筛查的结论。(摘要截取自250个单词)