Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
Popul Dev Rev. 2010;36(4):775-801. doi: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2010.00357.x.
Nearly every European Country has experienced some increase in nonmarital childbearing, largely due to increasing births within cohabitation. Relatively few studies in Europe, however, investigate the educational gradient of childbearing within cohabitation or how it changed over time. Using retrospective union and fertility histories, we employ competing risk hazard models to examine the educational gradient of childbearing in cohabitation in eight countries across europe. In all countries studied, birth risks within cohabitation demonstrated a negative educational gradient. When directly comparing cohabiting fertility with marital fertility, the negative educational gradient persists in all countries except Italy, although differences were not significant in Austria, France, and West Germany. To explain these findings, we present an alternative explanation for the increase in childbearing within cohabitation that goes beyond the explanation of the Second Demographic Transition and provides a new interpretation of the underlying mechanisms that may influence childbearing within cohabitation.
几乎每个欧洲国家都经历了非婚生子女数量的增加,这主要是由于同居生育的增加。然而,欧洲相对较少的研究调查了同居生育的教育梯度,也没有研究它是如何随时间变化的。本研究使用回顾性婚姻和生育史,利用竞争风险风险模型,考察了欧洲八个国家同居生育的教育梯度。在所研究的所有国家中,同居生育的生育风险都表现出负向的教育梯度。当直接将同居生育与婚姻生育进行比较时,除意大利外,所有国家的负向教育梯度都持续存在,尽管奥地利、法国和西德的差异不显著。为了解释这些发现,我们提出了一个对同居生育增加的替代解释,这个解释超越了第二次人口转变的解释,并提供了对可能影响同居生育的潜在机制的新解释。