Gajić Vladimir, Milojević Dragan, Smailagić Jasminka, Donović Nela, Matejić Suzana, Gajić Sanja
Zavod za hitnu medicinsku pomoć Kragujevac, Srbija.
Med Glas (Zenica). 2011 Feb;8(1):24-30.
To establish an influence of biometeorological phases on suicide incidence according to age, gender, settlement, week days, months in a year, ways of suicide execution, influence of biometeorologic phases on suicide execution.
Comparative analysis of the data about suicides (by years, months, week days, settlements, age, gender) obtained by the Police Department in Kragujevac for the 2004-2008 period and everyday biometeorological phases (phase 1 CWD: cyclone, warm, dry; phase 2 CWW: cyclone, warm, wet; phase 3 CWF: cyclone, warm front; phase 4 CCF: cyclone cold front; phase 5 CCW: cyclone, cold, wet; phase 6 CCD: cyclone, cold, dry; phase 7 ACD: anticyclone, cold, dry; phase 8 ACW: anticyclone, cold, wet; phase 9 AWD: anticyclone, warm, dry; phase 10 AWW: anticyclone, warm, wet) in Kragujevac determinated by the Republic Hydrometeorology Institute of Serbia.
In the observed period there were 144 suicides resulting in the incidence rate of 14/100 000/ year. The highest number of suicides was noted in 2005 (36), and lowest one in 2007 (24). The most suicide cases happened in January and June (18 in each), and the fewest in August (7). Three quarters occurred in urban areas. Three quarters of victims were males mostly in the age groups 41-45 and 51-55 (11 in each). Females made one quarter of victims and most of them were in the age group 61-65 years (7). Total mean age was 54,66 years. Two thirds of all suicides were executed by hanging (93) (two thirds were among males), one sixth by firearms, with nine tenths ofmen. The most incidents with significant correlation were in biometheorological phases 4 and 9 (stable sunny weather and sudden impact of weather fronts, with sudden weather changes) (38 in each), which makes over a half of all suicides.
According to the results of this study, it is strongly recommended to monitor everyday biometeorological forecast, and special attention must be paid to all persons with suicide tendencies.
根据年龄、性别、居住地、工作日、月份、自杀方式,确定生物气象阶段对自杀发生率的影响,以及生物气象阶段对自杀方式的影响。
对克拉古耶瓦茨警察局在2004 - 2008年期间获取的自杀数据(按年份、月份、工作日、居住地、年龄、性别)与塞尔维亚共和国水文气象研究所在克拉古耶瓦茨测定的每日生物气象阶段(阶段1 CWD:气旋、温暖、干燥;阶段2 CWW:气旋、温暖、湿润;阶段3 CWF:气旋、暖锋;阶段4 CCF:气旋冷锋;阶段5 CCW:气旋、寒冷、湿润;阶段6 CCD:气旋、寒冷、干燥;阶段7 ACD:反气旋、寒冷、干燥;阶段8 ACW:反气旋、寒冷、湿润;阶段9 AWD:反气旋、温暖、干燥;阶段10 AWW:反气旋、温暖、湿润)进行比较分析。
在观察期内有144起自杀事件,年发生率为14/10万。自杀人数最多的是2005年(36起),最少的是2007年(24起)。自杀事件最多发生在1月和6月(各18起),最少发生在8月(7起)。四分之三的事件发生在城市地区。四分之三的受害者为男性,主要集中在41 - 45岁和51 - 55岁年龄组(各11人)。女性占受害者的四分之一,其中大多数在61 - 65岁年龄组(7人)。总平均年龄为54.66岁。所有自杀事件的三分之二是通过上吊实施的(93起)(其中三分之二是男性),六分之一是通过枪支实施的,十分之九是男性。与自杀事件相关性最显著的生物气象阶段是4和9(稳定的晴天以及天气锋面的突然影响,伴有天气突然变化)(各38起),占所有自杀事件的一半以上。
根据本研究结果,强烈建议监测每日生物气象预报,必须特别关注所有有自杀倾向的人。