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体重和校正因子:对基于体温的死亡时间估计的影响。

Body mass and corrective factor: impact on temperature-based death time estimation.

机构信息

Institute of Legal Medicine, University Hospital Jena, Fürstengraben 23, 07740, Jena, Germany.

出版信息

Int J Legal Med. 2011 May;125(3):437-44. doi: 10.1007/s00414-011-0551-z. Epub 2011 Feb 1.

Abstract

Model-based methods play an important role in temperature-based death time determination. The most prominent method uses Marshall and Hoare's double exponential model with Henssge's parameter determination. The formulae contain body mass as the only non-temperature parameter. Henssge's method is well established since it can be adapted to non-standard cooling situations varying the parameter body mass by multiplying it with the corrective factor. The present study investigates the influence of measurement errors of body mass m as well as of variations of the corrective factor c on the error of the Marshall and Hoare-Henssge death time estimator t (D). A formula for the relative error of t (D) as a function of the relative error of m is derived. Simple approximations of order 1 and 0 nevertheless yield acceptable results validated by Monte Carlo simulations. They also provide the rule of thumb according to which the quotient of the standard deviations D(t (D)) of the estimated death time and D(m) of the body mass is equal to the quotient of the estimated death time t (D) and the body mass m (D(t (D))/D(m) ≈ t (D)/m). Additionally, formulae and their approximations are derived to quantify the influence of Henssge's body mass corrective factor c on death time estimation. In a range of body masses between 50 and 150 kg, the relative variation of the body mass corrective factor is approximately equal to the relative variation of the death time (Δt (D) = (t (D)/c)Δc). This formula is applied and compared to computations and to experimental cooling data with good results.

摘要

基于模型的方法在基于温度的死亡时间确定中起着重要作用。最突出的方法是使用马歇尔和豪尔的双指数模型与亨斯格的参数确定。该公式包含体质量作为唯一的非温度参数。由于可以通过将参数体质量乘以校正因子来适应变化的非标准冷却情况,因此亨斯格的方法得到了很好的应用。本研究调查了体质量 m 的测量误差以及校正因子 c 的变化对马歇尔和豪尔-亨斯格死亡时间估计器 t(D)的误差的影响。导出了作为 m 的相对误差的函数的 t(D)的相对误差的公式。然而,简单的一阶和零阶近似仍然可以得到可接受的结果,这些结果通过蒙特卡罗模拟得到验证。它们还提供了一个经验法则,根据该法则,估计的死亡时间的标准偏差 D(t(D))与体质量的标准偏差 D(m)的商等于估计的死亡时间 t(D)与体质量 m 的商(D(t(D))/D(m)≈t(D)/m)。此外,还导出了公式及其近似值,以量化亨斯格的体质量校正因子 c 对死亡时间估计的影响。在 50 至 150kg 的体质量范围内,体质量校正因子的相对变化大约等于死亡时间的相对变化(Δt(D)=(t(D)/c)Δc)。该公式已应用于计算和实验冷却数据,并取得了良好的结果。

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