Merrick T W
Centro de Desenvolvimento e Planejamento Regional, Federal University of Minas Gerais, Rua Curitiba, 832, Belo Horizonte, Brazil.
Demography. 1974 Aug;11(3):423-40. doi: 10.2307/2060436.
Trends and interregional differences in the birth rate in Brazil between 1950 and 1970 are examined. Estimates are based on data from the 1950 and 1970 censuses. Regional differences in birth measures (crude and general rates) were found to widen between 1950 and 1970 despite a decline in fertility at the national level and a narrowing of regional differences in important socioeconomicvariables like income and urbanization, The substantial interregional migration flows which occurred in Brazil between 1950 and 1970 are examined for their possible impact on differentials. The effects are mixed, but the conclusion is that migration contributed to widening differences.
本文研究了1950年至1970年间巴西出生率的趋势及地区间差异。估算基于1950年和1970年人口普查的数据。尽管全国生育率有所下降,且在收入和城市化等重要社会经济变量方面地区差异有所缩小,但在1950年至1970年间,出生指标(粗出生率和总生育率)的地区差异却在扩大。本文考察了1950年至1970年间巴西境内大规模的地区间人口迁移流动对差异可能产生的影响。其影响好坏参半,但结论是人口迁移导致差异扩大。