Merrick T W
Demography. 1978 Aug;15(3):321-36.
Differences between the marital fertility of the agricultural frontier and that of the more settled rural areas of southern Brazil are analyzed in this paper. Fertility rates derived from 1970 census data appear to decrease as the degree of settlement increases, suggesting an experience parallel to the decline in U.S. rural fertility in the late nineteenth century, which Easterlin and others have attributed to increased scarcity of land for starting new farm households. Multivariate analysis of the Brazilian data shows parallels between the two situations but also reveals that the importance of literacy, child survival, and access to land is relatively greater than that of the availability of land for explaining fertility differentials in Brazil.
本文分析了巴西农业前沿地区与巴西南部更稳定农村地区的婚姻生育率差异。从1970年人口普查数据得出的生育率似乎随着定居程度的提高而下降,这表明与19世纪后期美国农村生育率下降的情况类似,伊斯特林等人将其归因于开办新农户的土地日益稀缺。对巴西数据的多变量分析显示了两种情况之间的相似之处,但也表明,在解释巴西的生育率差异方面,识字率、儿童存活率和土地获取情况的重要性相对大于土地可获得性。