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年龄与卒中病死率的关系轨迹:在最高年龄趋于平稳。

Age trajectories of stroke case fatality: leveling off at the highest ages.

机构信息

The Stroke Unit, Frederiksberg Hospital, Frederiksberg, Denmark.

出版信息

Epidemiology. 2011 May;22(3):432-6. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0b013e3182117b3d.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Mortality rates level off at older ages. Age trajectories of stroke case-fatality rates were studied with the aim of investigating prevalence of this phenomenon, specifically in case-fatality rates at older ages.

METHODS

A registry of all hospitalized stroke patients in Denmark included 40,155 patients with evaluations of stroke severity, computed tomography, and cardiovascular risk factors. Data on mortality were used to construct age trajectories of 3-day, 1-week, 1-month, and 1-year case-fatality rates in men and women.

RESULTS

Of the 40,155 patients, 19,301 (48%) were women (mean age, 74.5 years) and 20,854 (52%) were men (mean age, 69.7 years). In both women and men, 3-day case-fatality rates leveled off, beginning in the patients' mid-70s. In women, 1-week case-fatality rates leveled off further in their early 80s, whereas in men, 1-week case-fatality rates accelerated with age. One-month and 1-year case-fatality rates accelerated with age for both sexes.

CONCLUSIONS

It is an apparent paradox that case-fatality rates in the acute state of stroke level off at the highest ages. Heterogeneity, innate or acquired, in regard to survival capacity may explain the phenomenon.

摘要

背景

死亡率在老年时趋于平稳。本研究旨在探讨脑卒中病死率的年龄轨迹,以明确这种现象在高龄人群中的表现。

方法

丹麦的脑卒中住院患者注册登记包括了 40155 名患者,对其进行了脑卒中严重程度评估、计算机断层扫描(CT)和心血管危险因素的检查。使用死亡率数据构建了男性和女性 3 天、1 周、1 个月和 1 年病死率的年龄轨迹。

结果

40155 名患者中,19301 名(48%)为女性(平均年龄 74.5 岁),20854 名(52%)为男性(平均年龄 69.7 岁)。在女性和男性中,3 天病死率在患者 70 多岁时趋于平稳。在女性中,1 周病死率在 80 岁前进一步趋于平稳,而在男性中,1 周病死率随年龄增长而加速。男女 1 个月和 1 年病死率均随年龄增长而加速。

结论

脑卒中急性期病死率在最高年龄趋于平稳,这是一个明显的悖论。可能是由于生存能力的内在或后天异质性导致了这一现象。

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