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使用走迷津测试预测社区居住的老年人跌倒的概率。

Predicting the probability of falls in community-dwelling elderly individuals using the trail-walking test.

机构信息

Department of Human Health Sciences, Kyoto University Graduate School of Medicine, 53 Kawahara-cho Shogoin, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto, Kyoto, 606-8507, Japan,

出版信息

Environ Health Prev Med. 2010 Nov;15(6):386-91. doi: 10.1007/s12199-010-0154-1. Epub 2010 May 25.

DOI:10.1007/s12199-010-0154-1
PMID:21432571
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2955901/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Falling is a common problem in the fast-growing elderly population. Multitasking or engaging in two or more activities at the same time is common in daily living.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the usefulness of the trail-walking test (TWT) for predicting a fall in community-dwelling elderly individuals.

METHODS

This was a prospective study in which the TWT was used to evaluate the risk of falling among a group of community-dwelling elderly individuals (n = 171) with a mean age of 80.5 ± 5.6 years. The following tests were conducted: TWT, trail-making test (TMT), timed-up-and-go test (TUG), functional reach (FR) test, one-leg standing (OLS) test, and 10-m walking time test. Test-retest reliability was assessed by repeating the TWT within 2 weeks of the first trial, and there was a 1-year follow-up. Stepwise logistic regression analysis was used to analyze whether the TWT, TMT, TUG, FR, OLS, or 10-m walking tests predicted falling.

RESULTS

The test-retest reliability of TWT was high (intraclass correlation coefficient 0.945, p < 0.001). Fifty-nine participants (34.5%) had reported a fall during the year preceding the 1-year follow-up. The stepwise logistic regression analysis revealed that only the TWT was significantly related to falling (odds ratio 1.160, 95% confidence interval 1.107-1.214; p < 0.001). In total, 77.8% of cases were correctly classified.

CONCLUSION

When reliability and validity were considered, the TWT was most useful test of those evaluated for assessing the risk of fall among our elderly cohort.

摘要

背景

跌倒在快速增长的老年人群中是一个常见的问题。在日常生活中,同时进行多项任务或参与两项或多项活动是很常见的。

目的

确定追踪行走测试(TWT)在预测社区居住的老年人跌倒中的有用性。

方法

这是一项前瞻性研究,使用 TWT 评估一组平均年龄为 80.5±5.6 岁的社区居住的老年人(n=171)跌倒的风险。进行了以下测试:TWT、轨迹形成测试(TMT)、计时起立行走测试(TUG)、功能伸展(FR)测试、单腿站立(OLS)测试和 10 米步行时间测试。通过在第一次试验后 2 周内重复 TWT 来评估测试-再测试的可靠性,并且进行了为期 1 年的随访。使用逐步逻辑回归分析来分析 TWT、TMT、TUG、FR、OLS 或 10 米步行测试是否预测跌倒。

结果

TWT 的测试-再测试可靠性很高(组内相关系数 0.945,p<0.001)。在 1 年随访前的 1 年内,有 59 名参与者(34.5%)报告跌倒。逐步逻辑回归分析显示,只有 TWT 与跌倒显著相关(优势比 1.160,95%置信区间 1.107-1.214;p<0.001)。总共,77.8%的病例被正确分类。

结论

当考虑可靠性和有效性时,TWT 是评估我们老年队列跌倒风险最有用的测试。

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