School of Public Health, Post Graduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh 160012, India.
Sex Transm Infect. 2011 Jun;87(4):354-61. doi: 10.1136/sti.2010.047829. Epub 2011 Mar 29.
To ascertain the cost effectiveness of targeted interventions for female sex workers (FSW) under the National AIDS Control Programme in India.
A compartmental mathematical Markov state model was used over a 20-year time horizon (1995-2015) to estimate the cost effectiveness of FSW targeted interventions, with a health system perspective. The incremental costs and effects of FSW targeted interventions were compared against a baseline scenario of mass media for the general population alone. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was computed at a 3% discount rate using HIV infections averted and disability-adjusted life-years (DALY) as benefit measures. It was assumed that the transmission of the HIV virus moves from a high-risk group (FSW) to the client population and finally to the general population (partners of clients).
Targeted interventions for FSW result in a reduction of 47% (1.6 million) prevalent and 36% (2.7 million) cumulative HIV cases, respectively, in 2015. Adult HIV prevalence in India, with and without (mass media only) FSW interventions, would be 0.25% and 0.48% in 2015. Indian government and development partners spend an average US $104 (INR4680) per HIV infection averted and US $10.7 (INR483) per DALY averted. Discounting at 3%, FSW targeted interventions cost US $105.5 (INR4748) and US $10.9 (INR490) per HIV case and DALY averted, respectively.
At the current gross domestic product in India, targeted intervention is a cost-effective strategy for HIV prevention in India.
确定印度国家艾滋病控制计划中针对女性性工作者(FSW)的靶向干预措施的成本效益。
使用房室数学马尔可夫状态模型,在 20 年的时间范围内(1995-2015 年),从卫生系统的角度来估计 FSW 靶向干预措施的成本效益。将 FSW 靶向干预措施的增量成本和效果与仅针对普通人群的大众媒体的基线情景进行比较。使用艾滋病毒感染人数和残疾调整生命年(DALY)作为受益指标,在 3%的贴现率下计算增量成本效益比。假设 HIV 病毒的传播从高风险人群(FSW)转移到客户人群,最后转移到普通人群(客户的伴侣)。
针对 FSW 的干预措施可使 2015 年现患和累计 HIV 病例分别减少 47%(160 万例)和 36%(270 万例)。在没有(仅大众媒体)和有 FSW 干预措施的情况下,印度 2015 年成人艾滋病毒流行率分别为 0.25%和 0.48%。印度政府和发展伙伴平均每避免 1 例艾滋病毒感染花费 104 美元(INR4680),每避免 1 个 DALY 花费 10.7 美元(INR483)。贴现率为 3%时,FSW 靶向干预措施的成本分别为每例 HIV 病例和 DALY 避免 105.5 美元(INR4748)和 10.9 美元(INR490)。
在印度目前的国内生产总值水平下,针对干预措施是印度艾滋病毒预防的一种具有成本效益的策略。