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通过战略规划、创新融资和数学建模加强印度对艾滋病毒/艾滋病疫情的应对：过去三十年的关键成就

Strengthening India's Response to HIV/AIDS Epidemic Through Strategic Planning, Innovative Financing, and Mathematical Modeling: Key Achievements over the Last 3 Decades.

作者信息

Bhat Ramesh, Sudhakar Kurapati, Kurien Thomas, Rao Arni S R Srinivasa

机构信息

NMIMS, Mumbai, India.

CDC, Mumbai, India.

出版信息

J Indian Inst Sci. 2022;102(2):791-809. doi: 10.1007/s41745-022-00331-y. Epub 2022 Sep 7.

DOI:10.1007/s41745-022-00331-y
PMID:36093271
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9449298/
Abstract

Indian HIV/AIDS numbers during the 2000s did not reach the high proportion of estimations provided by the WHO and UNAIDS. The number of HIV infections was high around 2.4 million in the 2020s, but given the country's population of 1.38 billion, the general positivity rate remained very low compared with several countries. There were several reasons for a successful control of the epidemic in India, for example, setting-up of the National AIDS Control Programs, strategic priorities, surveillance and data management, mathematical modeling, and coordinating with the civil society and galvanizing public response. In this review article, we will provide a recollection of India's response and management of the HIV/AIDS epidemic, challenges, and successful model building, and future challenges that play important role in sustaining the epidemic at a lower level and plan for reducing the future transmissions.

摘要

21世纪印度的艾滋病毒/艾滋病感染人数未达到世界卫生组织和联合国艾滋病规划署预估的高比例。2020年代，艾滋病毒感染人数约为240万，但鉴于该国13.8亿的人口，与其他几个国家相比，总体阳性率仍然很低。印度成功控制疫情有几个原因，例如，设立国家艾滋病控制项目、战略重点、监测和数据管理、数学建模，以及与民间社会协调并激发公众反应。在这篇综述文章中，我们将回顾印度对艾滋病毒/艾滋病疫情的应对和管理、挑战、成功的模式构建，以及在将疫情维持在较低水平并规划减少未来传播方面发挥重要作用的未来挑战。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/97ef/9449298/b62b0877d947/41745_2022_331_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/97ef/9449298/b79b3e2003ca/41745_2022_331_Fig1_HTML.jpg
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https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/97ef/9449298/0550403199be/41745_2022_331_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/97ef/9449298/12c3205d3b22/41745_2022_331_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/97ef/9449298/b62b0877d947/41745_2022_331_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/97ef/9449298/b79b3e2003ca/41745_2022_331_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/97ef/9449298/2fa3af137578/41745_2022_331_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/97ef/9449298/0550403199be/41745_2022_331_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/97ef/9449298/12c3205d3b22/41745_2022_331_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/97ef/9449298/b62b0877d947/41745_2022_331_Fig5_HTML.jpg

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印度科学机构与公共卫生：跨学科学习、合作与领导力的迫切需求。
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Fitting HIV Prevalence 1981 Onwards for Three Indian States Using the Goals Model and the Estimation and Projection Package.使用目标模型以及估计与预测软件包对印度三个邦1981年及以后的艾滋病毒流行情况进行拟合。
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